Figure 3.

The time of the peak in daily deaths $t_c$ versus the official national lock-down date $t_{\text{NL}}$ and the effective social distancing date $t_{\text{eff}}$. The correlation is weak with $r^2=0.45$ ($p=0.06$) for $t_{\text{eff}}$, and $r^2=0.12$ ($p=0.37$) for $t_{\text{NL}}$. Neither correlations are statistically significant. Dashed line: time (identity line) with a delay of 18.5 days. Error bars indicate standard error (SE).