TABLE 2. Joinpoint regression analysis of age-standardized DM mortality rates by sex, Colombia 1979-2017.
Age-groups |
Men |
Women |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Period |
APCa |
Trend |
AAPCb |
Period |
APC |
Trend |
AAPC |
||
0-9 |
1979-2017 |
|
|
|
1979-2017 |
–3.2^ (–4.4 to –2.0) |
Falling |
–3.2^ (–4.4 to –2.0) |
|
10-19 |
1979-2017 |
–4.3^ (–5.3 to –3.4) |
Falling |
–4.3^ (–5.3 to –3.4) |
1979-2017 |
–3.1^ (–3.9 to –3.9) |
Falling |
–3.1^ (–3.9 to –3.9) |
|
20-29 |
1979-1997 |
1.8^ (0.0 to 3.7) |
Rising |
–1.6^ (–2.7 to –0.5) |
1979-2017 |
–1.6^ (–2.2 to –1.0) |
Falling |
–1.6^ (–2.2 to –1.0) |
|
|
1997-2017 |
–4.3^ (–6.1 to –3.1) |
Falling |
|
|
|
|
|
|
30-39 |
1979-2001 |
–0.7 (–0.3 to 1.7) |
No change |
–1.2^ (–2.0 to –0.4) |
1979-1993 |
1.8 (–0.1 to 3.8) |
No change |
–0.7 (–1.5 to 0.1) |
|
|
2001-2017 |
–3.7^ (–5.1 to –2.3) |
Falling |
|
1993-2017 |
–2.1^ (–2.8 to –1.4) |
Falling |
|
|
40-49 |
1979-1990 |
–0.4 (–2.6 to 1.9) |
Stable |
|
1979-1981 |
29.6 (–6.6 to 79.7) |
No change |
|
|
|
1990-1999 |
5.5^ (2.6 to 8.6) |
Rising |
|
1981-1991 |
–3.8^ (–6.0 to –1.4) |
Falling |
|
|
|
1999-2007 |
–7.2^ (–9.8 to –4.4) |
Falling |
–0.3 (–1.4 to 0.9) |
1991-1998 |
5.6 (1.6 to 9.8) |
No change |
–0.2 (–2.2 to 1.8) |
|
|
2007-2017 |
0.4 (–1.3 to 2.2) |
Stable |
|
1998-2013 |
–5.0 (–5.9 to –4.1) |
No change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2013-2017 |
4.3 (–2.8 to 11.8) |
No change |
|
|
50-59 |
1979-1993 |
0.8 (–0.6 to 2.2) |
No change |
|
1979-2001 |
1.7^ (1.1 to 2.3) |
Rising |
|
|
|
1993-2000 |
8.6^ (4.7 to 12.7) |
Rising |
|
2001-2017 |
–4.7^ (–5.4 to –3.9) |
Falling |
–1.1^ (–1.5 to –0.6) |
|
|
2000-2011 |
–5.6^ (–6.9 to –4.2) |
Falling |
–0.0 (–1.0 to 1.0) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2011-2017 |
–1.1 (–4.2 to 2.1) |
No change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
60-69 |
1979-1990 |
0.6 (–1.1 to 2.3) |
No change |
|
1979-1992 |
0.1 (–0.9 to 1.0) |
Stable |
|
|
|
1990-1999 |
8.9^ (6.8 to 11.1) |
Rising |
|
1992-1999 |
7.5^ (4.9 to 10.1) |
Rising |
|
|
|
1999-2004 |
0.2 (–4.4 to 4.3) |
Stable |
|
1999-2003 |
–1.2 (–6.9 to 4.9) |
No change |
|
|
|
2004-2011 |
–6.8^ (–9.0 to –4.5) |
Falling |
0.7 (–0.3 to 1.8) |
2003-2011 |
–6.9^ (–8.5 to –5.3) |
Falling |
–0.7 (–1.7 to 0.2) |
|
|
2011-2017 |
–0.9 (–3.2 to 1.5) |
No change |
|
2011-2017 |
–2.8^ (–5.0 to –0.6) |
Falling |
|
|
70-79 |
1979-1993 |
0.1 (–1.4 to 1.7) |
Stable |
|
1979-1982 |
10.1 (–3.3 to 25.3) |
No change |
|
|
|
1993-2002 |
8.1^ (5.6 to 10.6) |
Falling |
|
1982-1991 |
–2.1(–4.3 to 0.3) |
No change |
|
|
|
2002-2017 |
–3.0^ (–3.7 to –2.3) |
Falling |
0.7 (–0.1 to 1.5) |
1991-2002 |
–5.7^ (4.4 to 7.0) |
Falling |
–0.0 (–1.2 to –1.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2002-2017 |
–4.7^ (–5.2 to –4.1) |
Falling |
|
|
≥80 |
1979-1990 |
–0.4 (–2.6 to 2.0) |
Stable |
|
1979-1993 |
1.1 (–0.2 to 2.5) |
No change |
|
|
|
1990-1999 |
5.8^ (3.2 to 8.6) |
Falling |
1.5^ (0.6 to 2.4) |
1993-2000 |
6.6^ (3.4 to10.0) |
Rising |
1.1^ (1.8 to 2.8) |
|
|
1999-2017 |
0.6^ (0.1 to 1.0) |
Falling |
|
2000-2017 |
–1.2^ (–1.6 to –0.7) |
Falling |
|
|
Source: prepared by the authors from the results of the study.
APC: annual percent change;
AAPC: average annual percent change
The APC is significantly different from zero (p<0,05).