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. 2021 Jan 19;4(1):e2034266. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.34266

Table 3. Proportional Hazard Results From Admission to 30 Days Postdischarge or Death.

Characteristic Overall General ward only ICU
Adjusted HR (95% CI) P value Adjusted HR (95% CI) P value Adjusted HR (95% CI) P value
Age, y
<65 1 [Reference] <.001 1 [Reference] <.001 1 [Reference] <.001
65-74 2.10 (1.75-2.52) 2.35 (1.55-3.57) 2.08 (1.70-2.55)
75-84 3.04 (2.50-3.69) 4.79 (3.15-7.29) 2.73 (2.18-3.42)
≥85 6.85 (5.59-8.39) 11.15 (7.33-16.97) 5.39 (4.20-6.92)
Women 0.86 (0.60-1.25) .44 0.68 (0.32-1.46) .32 0.97 (0.63-1.48) .88
Race/ethnicity
African American 0.77 (0.68-0.87) <.001 0.61 (0.48-0.77) <.001 0.86 (0.74-1.00) .11
Other or unknowna 1.01 (0.81-1.26) 0.93 (0.64-1.36) 1.02 (0.78-1.34)
White 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Primary care within prior 2 y 0.86 (0.68-1.09) .20 0.78 (0.54-1.14) .20 0.93 (0.69-1.26) .63
COVID-19 ICU loadb
≤25% 1 [Reference] .01 1 [Reference] .04 1 [Reference] .049
>25% to 50% 1.19 (0.99-1.43) 1.30 (0.92-1.84) 1.10 (0.88-1.37)
>50% to 75% 1.03 (0.77-1.40) 0.74 (0.42-1.32) 1.15 (0.81-1.64)
>75% to 100% 1.63 (1.13-2.35) 1.90 (0.98-3.65) 1.67 (1.08-2.60)
>100% 2.03 (1.16-3.56) 1.14 (0.29-4.49) 2.35 (1.25-4.39)
COVID-19 ICU demandc
≤25% 1 [Reference] <.001 1 [Reference] .09 1 [Reference] <.001
>25% to 50% 1.11 (0.94-1.31) 1.41 (1.07-1.84) 0.99 (0.81-1.22)
>50% to 75% 1.25 (1.05-1.49) 1.30 (0.95-1.79) 1.19 (0.95-1.48)
>75% 1.67 (1.33-2.11) 1.29 (0.85-1.97) 1.94 (1.46-2.59)
Hypertension 0.94 (0.80-1.11) .46 0.92 (0.68-1.24) .55 0.94 (0.77-1.14) .51
Atrial fibrillation 1.00 (0.88-1.15) .95 1.01 (0.81-1.27) .93 1.00 (0.84-1.18) .96
History of smoking
Never 1 [Reference] <.001 1 [Reference] .001 1 [Reference] <.001
Current 0.70 (0.56-0.87) 0.73 (0.47-1.14) 0.74 (0.57-0.96)
Former 0.93 (0.81-1.06) 0.98 (0.77-1.26) 0.92 (0.78-1.08)
Unknown 1.55 (1.30-1.84) 1.59 (1.19-2.12) 1.59 (1.27-1.98)
BMI
<25 1 [Reference] .001 1 [Reference] .01 1 [Reference] .12
25-29 0.83 (0.72-0.95) 0.75 (0.59-0.94) 0.88 (0.74-1.05)
30-34 0.80 (0.68-0.94) 0.72 (0.53-0.97) 0.84 (0.69-1.02)
≥35 0.94 (0.79-1.11) 0.96 (0.68-1.36) 0.98 (0.79-1.20)
Missing data 1.38 (0.97-1.98) 1.65 (0.92-2.93) 1.39 (0.87-2.22)
Place of treatment
General ward 1 [Reference] <.001 NA NA NA <.001
ICU
No ventilation 1.93 (1.66-2.24) NA 1 [Reference]
Mechanical ventilation 7.40 (6.47-8.48) NA 3.93 (3.39-4.55)
APACHE scored 1.02 (1.02-1.03) <.001 1.04 (1.03-1.05) <.001 1.02 (1.01-1.02) <.001
Charlson comorbidity scoree 1.05 (1.03-1.06) <.001 1.09 (1.06-1.12) <.001 1.02 (1.00-1.05) .03
Month of COVID diagnosis
March 1.46 (1.15-1.84) <.001 1.43 (0.92-2.22) .004 1.50 (1.13-2.00) .009
April 1.47 (1.20-1.79) 1.48 (1.04-2.10) 1.52 (1.19-1.96)
May 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
June 1.15 (0.91-1.45) 1.11 (0.74-1.68) 1.22 (0.91-1.62)
July 1.05 (0.85-1.30) 0.83 (0.57-1.20) 1.23 (0.94-1.61)
August 1.23 (0.97-1.55) 0.84 (0.56-1.26) 1.50 (1.13-2.00)
Facility complexityf
1a 1.05 (0.67-1.66) .08 1.41 (0.54-3.68) .80 0.88 (0.52-1.50) .08
1b 0.94 (0.59-1.51) 1.29 (0.48-3.47) 0.82 (0.47-1.41)
1c 1.29 (0.81-2.07) 1.50 (0.56-4.04) 1.17 (0.68-2.02)
2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

Abbreviations: APACHE, Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation; BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; HR, hazard ratio; ICU, intensive care unit; NA, not applicable.

a

The other race/ethnicity category includes Hispanic or Latino, Asian, Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, American Indian or Alaskan Native, or other race/ethnicity.

b

Calculated as No. patients with COVID-19 in the ICU during stay divided by No. of ICU beds.

c

Calculated as mean No. of patients with COVID-19 in the ICU during stay divided by maximum No. of patients with COVID-19 in the ICU.

d

A physiologic measure in which increasing scores indicate worse health. This score includes laboratory data (eg, white blood cell count) as well as vital signs (eg, oxygenation and blood pressure).

e

A measure of medical comorbidity in which increasing values indicate a greater comorbidity burden.

f

The complexity of the services provided at Veterans Affairs facilities, with level 1a being the most complex. The facility complexity model includes ICU level, operative complexity level, patient clinical classification, teaching status characteristics, amount of research funding, complex clinical programs provided (eg, invasive catheterization laboratory, neurosurgery, or transplant), rurality, care provided in the community, and mental health programs provided.