Figure 2.

Panel A: Kaplan-Meier (KM) plot of AF incidence dichotomised according to baseline CHARGE-AF predicted risk cut-off 2.5%; panel B: KM plot of AF incidence dichotomised according to baseline CHARGE-AF predicted risk cut-off 5%; panel C: KM plot of AF incidence dichotomised according to baseline CHARGE-AF predicted risk cut-off 10%; panel D: table of outcomes if CHARGE-AF risk cut-offs 2.5%, 5% and 10%, respectively, had been applied for patient selection. AF, atrial fibrillation; CHA₂DS₂-VASc, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes and previous stroke or transient ischaemic attack, vascular disease and female sex category; CHARGE-AF, cohorts for Heart and Ageing Research in Genomic Epidemiology model for atrial fibrillation; PY, person years; Nivel-PCD, Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research Primary Care Database.