Table 2.

Transition models for primary and secondary school entered separately and simultaneously (n = 32,283)

	Model 4a: transition, primary school random intercept			Model 4b: transition, secondary school random intercept			Model 4c: transition, primary, secondary random intercept
Intercept	24.61	0.08	[24.48, 24.78]	24.57	0.08	[24.47, 24.76]	24.64	0.11	[24.42, 24.85]
Residual variances	25.19	0.19	[24.80, 25.56]	25.19	0.19	[24.80, 25.56]	25.19	0.20	[24.81, 25.58]
	Coeff.	SD	95% CI	Coeff.	SD	95% CI	Coeff.	SD	95% CI
Student‐level variables
Sex
Male	0.67	0.06	[0.56, 0.78]	0.67	0.05	[0.56, 0.77]	0.66	0.06	[0.55, 0.77]
Ethnicity
White non‐British	−0.85	0.14	[−1.11, −0.59]	−0.85	0.14	[−1.11, −0.60]	−0.86	0.14	[−1.13, −0.58]
Minority ethnicity	−0.05	0.11	[−0.24, 0.15]	−0.06	0.10	[−0.25, 0.14]	−0.05	0.11	[−0.27, 0.16]
Family affluence	1.00	0.06	[0.89, 1.12]	1.00	0.06	[0.88, 1.12]	0.99	0.06	[0.88, 1.10]
FSM transition score	0.07	0.06	[−0.03, 0.19]	−0.28	0.04	[−0.35, −0.21]	−0.54	0.14	[−0.78, −0.27]
School‐level variables
Primary school FSM	−0.36	0.05	[−0.45, −0.27]				0.25	0.14	[−0.01, 0.49]
Secondary school FSM				−0.33	0.04	[−0.41, −0.27]	−0.61	0.14	[−0.86, −0.37]
Residual variances
Primary school residual variance	0.26	0.04	[0.18, 0.34]	0.26	0.04	[0.18, 0.34]	0.23	0.05	[0.14, 0.34]
Secondary residual school variance	0.18	0.04	[0.10, 0.27]	0.18	0.04	[0.10, 0.27]	0.19	0.04	[0.12, 0.29]