Table 2.

Logistic regressions predicting adult criminal conviction

Parameter Estimates	OR	(95% CI)		β	S.E	Est./S.E
Any Adult Criminal Conviction
Model 1a
Committing Authority  (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)	2.66	(1.47–4.80)		0.24	0.08	2.87	**
AIC, BIC, R2	16,876.74			16,893.47		0.06	(n.s.)
Model 1b
Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)	0.93	(0.50–1.71)		− 0.02	0.07	− 0.21	(n.s.)
Gender (0 = female; 1 = male)	6.34	(3.62–11.10)		0.38	0.06	6.27	***
Age at Beginning of Commitment	0.89	(0.68–1.15)		− 0.09	0.12	− 0.79
MAYSI Traumatic Experiences	1.23	(1.00–1.52)		0.13	0.08	1.57
MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use	1.13	(1.03–1.24)		0.15	0.07	2.15	*
MAYSI Angry-Irritable	1.04	(0.91–1.19)		0.04	0.09	0.46
MAYSI Depressed-Anxious	1.03	(0.84–1.27)		0.03	0.13	0.25
MAYSI Suicidal Ideation	0.98	(0.82–1.16)		− 0.02	0.08	− 0.25
Severity of Previous Delinquency	0.89	(0.73–1.10)		− 0.07	0.07	− 0.93
Previous Conviction	1.90	(1.23–2.96)		0.14	0.06	2.41	*
Time at Risk	1.03	(1.01–1.05)		0.32	0.10	3.27	**
Time since Intake	0.98	(0.96–1.00)		− 0.12	0.08	− 1.45
AIC, BIC, R2	11,865.95			11,905.67		0.40	***

Adult Violent Conviction
Model 2a
Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)	2.83	1.45	5.51	0.25	0.09	2.73	**
AIC, BIC	16,688.45			16,705.17		0.06	(n.s.)
Model 2b
Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)	0.94	0.51	1.73	− 0.01	0.07	− 0.17
Gender (0 = female; 1 = male)	4.60	2.04	10.39	0.29	0.10	3.04	**
Age at Beginning of Commitment	0.69	0.47	1.02	− 0.25	0.14	− 1.80
MAYSI Traumatic Experiences	0.96	0.72	1.29	− 0.02	0.10	− 0.23
MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use	1.13	1.00	1.27	0.13	0.08	1.67
MAYSI Angry-Irritable	0.96	0.81	1.13	− 0.05	0.11	− 0.44
MAYSI Depressed-Anxious	1.14	0.92	1.41	0.12	0.12	1.01
MAYSI Suicidal Ideation	0.95	0.76	1.19	− 0.04	0.10	− 0.37
Severity of Previous Delinquency	0.96	0.71	1.31	− 0.02	0.10	− 0.20
Previous Conviction	4.32	1.91	9.78	0.29	0.09	3.29	**
Time at Risk	1.04	1.01	1.06	0.36	0.11	3.34	**
Time since Intake	0.96	0.93	0.99	− 0.21	0.09	− 2.38	*
AIC, BIC, R2	11,719.86			11,759.58		0.48	***

Adult Non-Violent Conviction
Model 3a
Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)	2.44	1.27	4.68	0.22	0.09	2.35	*
AIC, BIC, R2	16,858.54			16,875.27		0.05	(n.s.)
Model 3b
Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)	0.86	0.43	1.74	− 0.03	0.08	− 0.34
Gender (0 = female; 1 = male)	7.10	3.67	13.73	0.40	0.07	5.64	***
Age at Beginning of Commitment	0.86	0.65	1.14	− 0.11	0.12	− 0.92
MAYSI Traumatic Experiences	1.36	1.12	1.66	0.19	0.08	2.35	*
MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use	1.09	0.97	1.23	0.10	0.08	1.23
MAYSI Angry-Irritable	1.06	0.92	1.22	0.07	0.09	0.70
MAYSI Depressed-Anxious	1.00	0.81	1.24	0.00	0.13	0.02
MAYSI Suicidal Ideation	0.97	0.81	1.15	− 0.03	0.08	− 0.34
Severity of Previous Delinquency	0.80	0.65	0.98	− 0.13	0.07	− 1.92
Previous Conviction	2.04	1.27	3.29	0.15	0.06	2.52	*
Time at Risk	1.03	1.01	1.05	0.32	0.10	3.26	**
Time since Intake	0.97	0.95	1.00	− 0.15	0.08	− 1.84
AIC, BIC, R2	11,852.74			11,892.46		0.43	***

N = 354. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05 Parameters are standardized; Analyses used cluster-robust standard errors and FIML-Estimation with Montecarlo integration for dichotomous outcomes