Table 3.
Predicted Percentage Change in Human Immunodeficiency Virus Diagnosis Rates per Unit Increase in Pre-exposure Prophylaxis Coverage (Includes a 1-Year Lag), Without Accounting for Changes in Viral Suppression Rates
| Variable (Unit) | 50 US States and the District of Columbia (N = 51) | |
|---|---|---|
| Temporal Trend Model Percentage Change (95% CI) | PrEP Model Percentage Change (95% CI) | |
| Time (per 1 y) | ||
| 50 states | −0.95 (−1.90 to .02) | 0.56 (−.68, 1.81) |
| District of Columbia | −13.69 (−17.46 to −9.76) | −11.59 (−15.63, −7.36) |
| a(PrEP coverage)t−1 | NA | |
| (1 per 100) | −1.14 (−1.77 to −.49) | |
| (5 per 100) | −5.56 (−8.57 to −2.45) | |
| b(VS)t−1 | NA | NA |
| (1 per 100) | ||
| (5 per 100) |
t−1 was measured during the previous year.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; NA, not applicable; PrEP, pre-exposure prophylaxis; VS, viral suppression.
aPrEP coverage rate during the previous year.
bVS rate among persons with diagnosed human immunodeficiency virus during the previous year.