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. 2021 Jan 21;11:1957. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-81396-0

Table 4.

Adjusted hazard ratios, 95% confidence intervals, and incidence rates of end-stage renal disease development according to the change of MetS component in different renal function groups.

eGFR (ml/min 1.73 m2) Met S N Events (n) Follow-up duration (person-years) Incidence rate (per 1000 person-years) Adjusted hazard ratios ( 95% confidence intervals)
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
 ≥ 90
No (–/–) 3,860,370 743 19,327,628 0.04 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.)
Post (–/+) 569,066 238 2,827,416 0.08 1.53 (1.32, 1.77) 1.70 (1.46, 1.98) 1.70 (1.46, 1.98)
Pre (+/–) 443,490 165 2,207,881 0.07 1.29 (1.09, 1.53) 1.42 (1.19, 1.68) 1.42 (1.19,1.68)
Both (+/+) 886,095 604 4,386,917 0.14 2.10 (1.88, 2.35) 2.49 (2.20, 2.82) 2.49 (2.20, 2.82)
60–90
No (–/–) 4,033,388 1287 20,186,181 0.06 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.)
Post (–/+) 782,638 578 3,892,718 0.15 1.70 (1.54, 1.88) 1.92 (1.73, 2.12) 1.88 (1.70, 2.08)
Pre (+/–) 598,265 392 2,981,306 0.13 1.45 (1.29,1.62) 1.61 (1.43, 1.80) 1.59 (1.41, 1.78)
Both (+/+) 1,438,726 1935 7,125,683 0.27 2.66 (2.47, 2.86) 3.21 (2.96, 3.48) 3.12 (2.88, 3.39)
 < 60
No (–/–) 273,575 1900 1,383,148 1.37 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.)
Post (–/+) 86,721 1394 427,189 3.26 2.30 (2.14, 2.46) 2.85 (2.65, 3.06) 3.32 (3.09,3.57)
Pre (+/–) 63,867 1011 3,134,865 3.23 2.29 (2.12, 2.47) 2.75 (2.55, 2.98) 3.12(2.89, 3.38)
Both (+/+) 274,723 8335 1,326,542 6.28 4.70 (4.45, 4.95) 6.47 (6.11, 6.85) 7.95 (7.50, 8.42)

Model 1, adjusted for No. of MetS components at 1st visit, age and sex; Model 2, Model 1 plus adjusted for smoking, drinking and exercise; Model 3, Model 2 plus adjusted for estimated GFR.