. 2020 Oct 16;40(12):2539–2560. doi: 10.1111/risa.13605

Table VII.

Optimal Expected DALYs/100,000 Population After Implementing the Optimal Sampling Procedure of Monitoring Dioxins and Aflatoxin B₁/M₁ (AFB₁/M1) With the Allocation of Budgets 10,000 Euros at Different Stages of the Dairy Supply Chain

Contamination		Costs of sampling				Probability of identifying chemicals				DALYs left ²
Scenarios		FM	DF	MT	Chain ¹	FM (%)	DF (%)	MT (%)	Chain ¹ (%)	/100,000 population
S1	AFB₁/M₁ low	170	220	5780	7190	1	4	80	81	0.0057
	Dioxins low	174	780	1821	2775	1	11	28	37	0.0096
	TOTAL	344	1030	7601	9965					0.0154
S2	AFB₁/M₁ mid	170	130	3910	4210	5	5	99	99	0.0008
	Dioxins mid	188	1143	4426	5757	5	46	89	95	0.0029
	TOTAL	358	1273	8336	9967					0.0037
S3	AFB₁/M₁ high	170	1320	2210	3700	10	92	100	100	0
	Dioxins high	205	340	5752	6297	10	34	100	100	0.0001
	TOTAL	375	1660	7962	9997					0.0001
S4	AFB₁/M₁ mid	170	410	3565	4490	5	30	99	100	0.0006
	Dioxins low	174	1769	5752	5508	1	21	41	54	0.007
	TOTAL	344	2179	9317	9998					0.0076
S5	AFB₁/M₁ high	170	220	2210	2600	10	34	100	100	0.0002
	Dioxins mid	188	676	6504	7368	5	34	96	97	0.0015
	TOTAL	358	896	8714	9968					0.0017
S6	AFB₁/M₁ low	170	1100	4930	6200	1	18	69	75	0.0076
	Dioxins high	205	285	3291	3781	10	27	97	98	0.0019
	TOTAL	375	1385	8221	9981					0.0096
S7	AFB₁/M₁ high	170	190	2210	2570	10	27	100	100	0.0003
	Dioxins low	174	2886	4355	7415	1	30	46	62	0.0057
	TOTAL	344	3076	6565	9985					0.006
S8	AFB₁/M₁ low	170	160	4930	5260	6	7	71	75	0.0078
	Dioxins mid	194	1154	3381	4729	7	47	84	92	0.0084
	TOTAL	364	1314	8311	9989					0.0163
S9	AFB₁/M₁ mid	170	190	4420	4780	5	14	100	100	0.0004
	Dioxins high	205	708	4289	5202	10	47	99	100	0.0005
	TOTAL	375	898	8709	9982					0.0009

FM = feed mills.

DF = dairy farms.

MT = milk trucks.

^¹

Chain: from the integrated chain level, different stages jointly to identify the contamination.

^²

DALYs left: the expected left DALYs refer to equation (A2d).