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. 2021 Jan 21;34:100437. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100437

Table 10.

Scenarios D1 and D2: early efficient testing vs. late massive testing. Parameters and epidemic outputs.

Par. D1 D2
δ 1/2

μ 0.034/14

p 0 if t50
0.8 if t>50

r 1 if t50
0.2 if t>50

ρ 0.1 if t50
0.05 if t>50
0.01 if t50
0.1 if t>50

R0 1.68 if t50
0.75 if t>50
2.4 if t50
0.62 if t>50

Peak day 58 59

Peak size
(maximum of Q)
7.82×104 1.92×102

Recovered 2.61 ×103 4.93 ×102

Deaths 7.89 ×105 1.52 ×103

Positive tests 2.11 ×103 4.07 ×102

Ending day 352 332