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. 2021 Jan 21;73:101783. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2021.101783

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Fig. 2 — Forecast Evaluation for ARIMA and Poisson Models. Notes. For fatal and non-fatal shootings, Estimation Sample: 1/2/2017–7/27/2020 (187 observations). Forecast Sample: 8/3/2020 10/5/2020 (10 observations). For gang- and non-gang related shootings, Estimation Sample: 12/31/2018–7/27/2020 (83 observations). Forecast Sample: 8/3/2020 10/5/2020 (10 observations).