Table 1.
Poisson regression coefficients of factors thought to contribute to incidence and severity of COVID-19 infections, 883 US counties as of May 31, 2020
| COVID-19 cases (95 % C.I.) | COVID-19 deaths (95% C.I.) | |
|---|---|---|
| Days from shutdown | − 0.014 (− 0.0134, − 0.0138) | − 0.015 (− 0.016, − 0.014) |
| Log (population/square kilometer) | 0.278 (0.276, 0.280) | 0.494 (0.482, 0.506) |
| Average persons per household | 1.110 (1.094, 1.126) | − 0.050 (− 0.067, 0.018) |
| Log(average employees per business) | 0.107 (0.102, 0.112) | 0.248 (0.228, 0.268) |
| Log(average religious per number of congregations) | 1.028 (1.021, 1.035) | 1.328 (1.298, 1.358) |
| Log(claimed social acquaintances) | 0.420 (0.413, 0.427) | 0.389 (0.315, 0.421) |
| Percent obese in the population | 0.008 (0.007, 0.009) | − 0.005 (− 0.008, − 0.002) |
| Percent diabetic in the population | 0.036 (0.034, 0.038) | 0.058 (0.050, 0.066) |
| Cardiovascular hospital discharge rate | 0.654 (0.640, 0.668) | 1.143 (1.082, 1.204) |
| Percent aged 65 and older | 0.896 (0.883, 0.909) | 1.478 (1.424, 1.532) |
| Percent adults finished high school | − 0.013 (− 0.014, − 0.012) | − 0.016 (− 0.017, − 0.015) |
| Log(median family income) | 1.098 (1.086, 1.110) | 0.925 (0.874, 0.976) |
| Income inequality | 0.076 (0.073, 0.079) | − 0.074 (− 0.086, − 0.062) |
| Percent unemployed before COVID-19 | 0.421 (0.410, 0.432) | 1.283 (1.228, 1.338) |
| Percent African American | 0.078 (00.076, 0.080) | 0.065 (0.058, 0.072) |
| Percent Hispanic | − 0.231 (− 0.234, − 0.228) | − 0.054 (− 0.066, − 0.042) |
| Intercept | − 35.375 | − 40.507 |
| Predicted vs. actual R2 | 0.78 | 0.78 |