Table 14.
Fitting values of models in Case 2.
| Date | Raw data | GM (1,1) | APE (%) | Verhulst | APE (%) | ARGM (1,1) | APE (%) | ONGM (1,1) | APE (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 977 | 977.0000 | 0.0000 | 977.0000 | 0.0000 | 977.0000 | 0.0000 | 977.0000 | 0.0000 |
| 3.11 | 2313 | 2295.3639 | -0.7625 | 411.9399 | -82.1902 | 1868.5143 | -19.2168 | 2551.2386 | -10.3000 |
| 3.12 | 2651 | 2518.0459 | -5.0152 | 578.7551 | -78.1684 | 2575.0435 | -2.8652 | 2658.438 | -0.2806 |
| 3.13 | 2547 | 2762.3310 | 8.4543 | 806.3475 | -68.3413 | 3134.9711 | 23.0848 | 2798.3715 | -9.8693 |
| 3.14 | 3497 | 3030.3152 | -13.3453 | 1110.4411 | -68.2459 | 3578.7163 | 2.3368 | 2981.0345 | 14.7545 |
| 3.15 | 3590 | 3324.2975 | -7.4012 | 1504.9561 | -58.0792 | 3930.3864 | 9.4815 | 3219.4750 | 10.3210 |
| 3.16 | 3233 | 3646.8002 | 12.7993 | 1996.0261 | -38.2609 | 4209.0865 | 30.1914 | 3530.7248 | -9.2089 |
| 3.17 | 3526 | 4000.5901 | 13.4597 | 2572.7846 | -27.0339 | 4429.9576 | 25.6369 | 3937.0168 | -11.6567 |
| 3.18 | 4207 | 4388.7024 | 4.3191 | 3196.8035 | -24.0123 | 4604.9990 | 9.4604 | 4467.3728 | -6.1890 |
| 3.19 | 5318 | 4814.4671 | -9.4685 | 3796.0134 | -28.6195 | 4743.7201 | -10.7988 | 5159.6764 | 2.9771 |
| 3.20 | 5986 | 5281.5367 | -11.7685 | 4272.1207 | -28.6315 | 4853.6572 | -18.9165 | 6063.3796 | 1.2927 |
| 3.21 | 6557 | 5793.9186 | -11.6377 | 4527.1791 | -30.9565 | 4940.7828 | -24.6487 | 7243.0346 | 10.4626 |
| Date | Raw data | ENGM (1,1) | APE (%) | ARIMA | APE (%) | GRM (1,1) | APE (%) | GERM (1,1,) | APE (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 977 | 977.0000 | 0.0000 | 2103.8538 | -115.3382 | 977.0000 | 0.0000 | 977.0000 | 0.0000 |
| 3.11 | 2313 | 2778.3139 | 20.1173 | 1753.5983 | 24.1851 | 2295.1304 | -0.7726 | 2345.6369 | 1.4110 |
| 3.12 | 2651 | 2961.7041 | 11.7203 | 2612.2324 | 1.4624 | 2517.9964 | -5.0171 | 2506.3437 | -5.4567 |
| 3.13 | 2547 | 3186.8406 | 25.1213 | 2849.9128 | -11.8929 | 2762.3603 | 8.4554 | 2669.8166 | 4.8220 |
| 3.14 | 3497 | 3463.2265 | -0.9658 | 2889.2604 | 17.3789 | 3030.3800 | -13.3434 | 2859.3663 | -18.2337 |
| 3.15 | 3590 | 3802.5278 | 5.9200 | 3512.8958 | 2.1477 | 3324.3702 | -7.3992 | 3090.2263 | -13.9213 |
| 3.16 | 3233 | 4219.0666 | 30.5001 | 3633.3998 | -12.3848 | 3646.8581 | 12.8011 | 3378.2706 | 4.4934 |
| 3.17 | 3526 | 4730.4249 | 34.1584 | 3543.4230 | -0.4941 | 4000.6122 | 13.4604 | 3742.5556 | 6.1417 |
| 3.18 | 4207 | 5358.1871 | 27.3636 | 3819.6221 | 9.2079 | 4388.6674 | 4.3182 | 4207.0690 | 0.0016 |
| 3.19 | 5318 | 6128.8509 | 15.2473 | 4281.7874 | 19.485 | 4814.3521 | -9.4706 | 4802.5537 | -9.6925 |
| 3.20 | 5986 | 7074.9461 | 19.0126 | 4964.6274 | 17.0627 | 5281.3168 | -11.7722 | 5568.7153 | -6.9710 |
| 3.21 | 6557 | 8236.4073 | 18.1915 | 4490.2532 | 31.5197 | 5793.5659 | -11.6430 | 6557.0293 | 0.0004 |