Table 15.
Fitting values of models in Case 3.
| Date | Raw data | GM (1,1) | APE (%) | Verhulst | APE (%) | ARGM (1,1) | APE (%) | ONGM (1,1) | APE (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.11 | 4858.0000 | 0.0000 | 4858.0000 | 0.0000 | 4858 | 0.0000 | 4858.0000 | 0.0000 | |
| 4.12 | 4313 | 3969.9498 | -7.9539 | 3021.5485 | -29.9432 | 4072.0243 | -5.5872 | 4146.0369 | 3.8712 |
| 4.13 | 3579 | 3915.9128 | 9.4136 | 3897.1178 | 8.8885 | 3892.5527 | 8.7609 | 3810.8437 | -6.4779 |
| 4.14 | 3489 | 3862.6113 | 10.7083 | 4205.6223 | 20.5395 | 3851.5718 | 10.3919 | 3731.8115 | -6.9593 |
| 4.15 | 4178 | 3810.0353 | -8.8072 | 3748.9680 | -10.2688 | 3842.2141 | -8.0370 | 3713.1771 | 11.1255 |
| 4.16 | 4326 | 3758.1749 | -13.1259 | 2813.6517 | -34.9595 | 3840.0773 | -11.2326 | 3708.7835 | -14.2676 |
| 4.17 | 5065 | 3707.0205 | -26.8110 | 1850.8859 | -63.4573 | 3839.5894 | -24.1937 | 3707.7476 | -26.7967 |
| 4.18 | 5292 | 3656.5623 | -30.9040 | 1114.2737 | -78.9442 | 3839.478 | -27.4475 | 3707.5033 | -29.9414 |
| 4.19 | 4956 | 3606.7910 | -27.2237 | 635.3629 | -87.1799 | 3839.4526 | -22.5292 | 3707.4457 | -25.1928 |
| 4.20 | 4721 | 3557.6971 | -24.6410 | 351.1143 | -92.5627 | 3839.4468 | -18.6730 | 3707.4322 | -21.4693 |
| 4.21 | 3853 | 3509.2714 | -8.9211 | 190.6801 | -95.0511 | 3839.4454 | -0.3518 | 3707.4290 | -3.7781 |
| 4.22 | 4854 | 3461.5049 | -28.6876 | 102.5734 | -97.8868 | 3839.4451 | -20.9014 | 3707.4282 | -23.6212 |
| 4.23 | 4760 | 3414.3886 | -28.2691 | 54.8958 | -98.8467 | 3839.4451 | -19.3394 | 3707.4281 | -22.1129 |
| 4.24 | 5487 | 3367.9136 | -38.6201 | 29.2989 | -99.4660 | 3839.445 | -30.0265 | 3707.4282 | -32.4325 |
| 4.25 | 5158 | 3322.0712 | -35.5938 | 15.6144 | -99.6973 | 3839.445 | -25.5633 | 3707.4283 | -28.1228 |
| Date | Raw data | ENGM (1,1) | APE (%) | ARIMA | APE (%) | GRM (1,1) | APE (%) | GERM(1,1,) | APE (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.11 | 4858 | 4858.0000 | 0.0000 | 4965.9742 | -2.2226 | 4858.0000 | 0.0000 | 4858.0000 | 0.0000 |
| 4.12 | 4313 | 3998.2368 | -7.2980 | 4717.4428 | -9.3773 | 3969.8426 | -7.9564 | 4313.0979 | 0.0023 |
| 4.13 | 3579 | 3722.3409 | 4.0051 | 4339.0877 | -21.2374 | 3915.9602 | 9.4149 | 3692.1102 | 3.1604 |
| 4.14 | 3489 | 3552.3716 | 1.8163 | 3836.821 | -9.9691 | 3862.6518 | 10.7094 | 3807.9261 | 9.1409 |
| 4.15 | 4178 | 3447.6599 | -17.4806 | 4038.7789 | 3.3322 | 3809.991 | -8.8083 | 3940.0159 | -5.6961 |
| 4.16 | 4326 | 3383.1509 | -21.7949 | 4667.2344 | -7.8880 | 3758.0015 | -13.1299 | 4071.6967 | -5.8785 |
| 4.17 | 5065 | 3343.4092 | -33.9899 | 5150.3372 | -1.6848 | 3706.6903 | -26.8176 | 4202.7668 | -17.0234 |
| 4.18 | 5292 | 3318.9259 | -37.2841 | 5034.3642 | 4.8684 | 3656.0579 | -30.9135 | 4333.3862 | -18.1144 |
| 4.19 | 4956 | 3303.8426 | -33.3365 | 5216.7338 | -5.2610 | 3606.1007 | -27.2377 | 4463.7041 | -9.9333 |
| 4.20 | 4721 | 3294.5504 | -30.2150 | 5250.5274 | -11.2164 | 3556.8135 | -24.6597 | 4593.8537 | -2.6932 |
| 4.21 | 3853 | 3288.8257 | -14.6425 | 5358.3126 | -39.0686 | 3508.1901 | -8.9491 | 4723.9543 | 22.6046 |
| 4.22 | 4854 | 3285.2990 | -32.3177 | 5429.2496 | -11.8510 | 3460.2232 | -28.714 | 4854.1137 | 0.0023 |
| 4.23 | 4760 | 3283.1263 | -31.0268 | 5518.5372 | -15.9357 | 3412.9056 | -28.3003 | 4984.4298 | 4.7149 |
| 4.24 | 5487 | 3281.7878 | -40.1898 | 5598.6861 | -2.0355 | 3366.2295 | -38.6508 | 5114.9921 | -6.7798 |
| 4.25 | 5158 | 3280.9632 | -36.3908 | 5683.3861 | -10.1858 | 3320.1870 | -35.6303 | 5245.8824 | 1.7038 |