Table 2.

Individuals developing high-risk conditions for COVID-19^a in 1 year in England, by BMI group and overall, under different scenarios of transition to higher BMI groups over 3 months.

BMI group	Scenario 1 Normal weight: 5.4% Overweight: 5.0% Obese: 1.4%b	Scenario 2 Normal weight: 8% Overweight: 8% Obese: 2%	Scenario 3 Normal weight: 10% Overweight: 10% Obese: 3%	Scenario 4 Normal weight: 12% Overweight: 12% Obese: 4%	Scenario 5 Normal weight: 15% Overweight: 15% Obese: 6%
Normal weight	325	479	598	718	898
Overweight	4256	6865	8581	10,298	12,872
Obese	93,174	140,111	210,167	280,222	420,334
Total	97,755	147,455	219,346	291,238	434,104

BMI, body mass index; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; CI, confidence interval.

^aCardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, chronic kidney disease or severe obesity (BMI≥40 kg/m²).

^bObserved in 2 million individuals in England.