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. 2021 Jan 25;36(2):213–218. doi: 10.1007/s10654-021-00717-9

Table 2.

Average number of deaths from 2015 to 2019, number of deaths in 2020, and expected number of deaths in 2020 by age and sex in Italy for calendar weeks 8–26

Age groups (years) Average number of deaths 2015–2019 (A) Number of deaths observed in 2020 (B) Number of deaths expected in 2020 (C) Number of officially registered as death COVID-19 (D) Number of observed deaths in 2020—expected (B − C) Difference between number of observed deaths and average number of deaths (B − A) Number of observed deaths in 2020—expected—officially death COVID-19 (B − C − D)
Male
0–29 1015 752 995 13 − 243 − 263 − 256
30–49 3201 2935 3047 255 − 112 − 266 − 367
50–59 6022 6542 6298 892 244 520 − 648
60–69 12,839 14,489 13,003 2597 1486 1650 − 1111
70–79 25,944 31,989 26,983 6194 5006 6045 − 1188
80+ 55,825 70,930 60,888 9572 10,042 15,105 470
Total 104,845 127,637 111,215 19,523 16,422 22,792 − 3101
Female
0–29 555 416 541 7 − 125 − 139 − 132
30–49 1872 1700 1777 105 − 77 − 172 − 182
50–59 3660 3758 3811 281 − 53 98 − 334
60–69 7455 7793 7555 810 238 338 − 572
70–79 17,943 20,344 18,405 2706 1939 2401 − 767
80+ 82,734 101,251 86,561 10,246 14,690 18,517 4444
Total 114,219 135,262 118,650 14,155 16,612 21,043 2457
Total
0–29 1570 1168 1537 20 − 369 − 402 − 389
30–49 5073 4635 4824 360 − 189 − 438 − 549
50–59 9681 10,300 10,109 1173 191 619 − 982
60–69 20,294 22,282 20,558 3407 1724 1988 − 1683
70–79 43,887 52,333 45,388 8900 6945 8446 − 1955
80+ 138,559 172,181 147,449 19,818 24,732 33,622 4914
Total 219,064 262,899 229,864 33,678 33,035 43,835 − 643