Table 3.

New death cases forecast error.

	1 Days prediction				5 Days Prediction
Target Country	Italy Model		US Model		Italy Model				US Model
	RMSE	MAE	RMSE	MAE	RMSE	RMSE SD	MAE	MAE SD	RMSE	RMSE SD	MAE	MAE SD
Germany	0.3	0.24	0.32	0.23	0.55	0.33	0.48	0.3	1.35	0.36	1.19	0.35
France	1.46	0.84	2.28	1.15	1.94	1.92	1.71	1.64	2.17	1.63	1.91	1.41
Italy	–	–	1.56	1.03	–	–	–	–	1.37	0.57	1.24	0.55
US	0.85	0.57	–	–	0.84	0.72	0.75	0.67	–	–	–	-
Brazil	0.44	0.32	0.37	0.23	0.78	0.46	0.68	0.44	1.13	0.38	0.98	0.34
India	0.21	0.2	0.162	0.138	0.84	0.72	0.75	0.67	1.56	0.01	0.98	0.01