Table 3.

Model-projected resource use of COVID-19 intervention strategies in KwaZulu-Natal province, South Africa

	Cumulative PCR tests in 360-day period, n	Highest daily resource use during the 360-day period, n
		PCR tests	Hospital beds (non-ICU)	ICU beds*	Isolation centre beds	Quarantine centre beds
Re 1·5
Health-care testing alone	1 527 450	14 820	4690	748	..	..
Health-care testing, contact tracing, isolation centres, mass symptom screening, and quarantine centres†	3 904 230	12 900	640	341	12 380	18 140
Health-care testing and contact tracing	5 951 180	31 050	3440	748	..	..
Health-care testing, contact tracing, isolation centres, and mass symptom screening	4 639 280	16 930	1320	715	21 260	..
Health-care testing, contact tracing, and isolation centres	4 904 010	19 340	1930	748	30 510	..
Health-care testing, contact tracing, isolation centres, and quarantine centres	4 478 770	16 710	1380	737	26 710	39 470
Re 1·2
Health-care testing, contact tracing, isolation centres, and quarantine centres†	2 963 280	9870	590	363	1840	3110
Health-care testing, contact tracing, and isolation centres	3 025 260	9870	590	363	1620	..
Health-care testing, contact tracing, isolation centres, and mass symptom screening	3 159 950	10 520	570	396	1510	..
Health-care testing, contact tracing, isolation centres, mass symptom screening, and quarantine centres	3 120 800	10 520	570	396	1860	3480
Health-care testing and contact tracing	3 647 570	12 450	770	506	..	..
Health-care testing alone	766 140	4440	1680	748	..	..

Strategies are listed in order of ascending costs. ICU=intensive care unit. R_e=effective reproductive number.

^*748 ICU beds available in total.

^†The cost-effective strategy in this scenario.