Table 3.
One Step Ahead Prediction Loss of Cases.
| Minimum Average Loss |
Average Loss of K 100 |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | 1a | 1b | 1c | 1a | 1b | 1c |
| USA | 6463 | 9480 | 5186 | 16247 | 14250 | 16755 |
| Brazil | 3263 | 2395 | 2753 | 6139 | 5737 | 4130 |
| Russia | 103 | 845 | 120 | 2440 | 2757 | 1499 |
| India | 2761 | 1004 | 2612 | 5348 | 4902 | 4529 |
| UK | 109 | 93 | 109 | 292 | 258 | 267 |
| Peru | 1553 | 1800 | 1583 | 1677 | 2968 | 1885 |
| Chile | 1115 | 949 | 1100 | 3606 | 1143 | 3840 |
| Italy | 94 | 67 | 98 | 139 | 165 | 140 |
| Iran | 38 | 100 | 46 | 1102 | 1086 | 1014 |
| Mexico | 956 | 547 | 872 | 1448 | 1072 | 1050 |
| France | 207 | 202 | 211 | 207 | 304 | 213 |
| Pakistan | 706 | 1012 | 825 | 4907 | 3081 | 5554 |
| Turkey | 115 | 64 | 137 | 679 | 479 | 717 |
| Germany | 74 | 50 | 63 | 210 | 110 | 246 |
| Saudi Arabia | 77 | 95 | 86 | 302 | 745 | 594 |
| South Africa | 346 | 297 | 371 | 364 | 3837 | 397 |
| Canada | 32 | 21 | 27 | 64 | 65 | 44 |
| Qatar | 163 | 160 | 221 | 330 | 1110 | 613 |
| Colombia | 917 | 681 | 875 | 1248 | 1595 | 1194 |
| Sweden | 797 | 787 | 798 | 1310 | 1368 | 1281 |
| Egypt | 361 | 554 | 420 | 1256 | 767 | 1310 |
| Belgium | 86 | 75 | 88 | 91 | 95 | 90 |
| Belarus | 196 | 209 | 203 | 257 | 1132 | 443 |
| Argentina | 1099 | 1067 | 1108 | 1680 | 2023 | 1643 |
| Indonesia | 47 | 62 | 46 | 155 | 213 | 155 |
| Netherlands | 6 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| UAE | 40 | 76 | 43 | 127 | 633 | 170 |
This table summarizes the average loss of one step prediction for new daily cases when L 5. And K ranges from 14 to 100 days. The second column presents the minimum average loss of 5 days within that range. And the corresponding results of K 100 are provided for comparisons.