Skip to main content
. 2020 Nov 6;163:120447. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120447

Table. A3.

Model input factors and FI calculation of automobile sector by region between January 2020 to March 2021.

V‐shaped Scenario U‐shaped Scenario
compared to Baseline between Jan 20 to Mar 21 compared to Baseline between Jan 20 to Mar 21
Region Production reduction (%) Sales reduction (million units) lost potential revenue (USD Billion) Production reduction (%) Sales reduction (million units) lost potential revenue (USD Billion)
North America -16.66% -4 -124.375 -19.48% -6.125 -192
China -13.13% -3.875 -120.375 -15.63% -6 -186
Western Europe -18.94% -3.375 -104.875 -21.95% -5.25 -162
Eastern Europe -10.96% -2.125 -66 -14.64% -3.25 -102
Rest of Asia -8.78% -1.5 -46.625 -13.63% -2.375 -72
South America -23.15% -1.125 -34.875 -33.34% -1.75 -54
Rest of the world -25.86% -0.75 -23.375 -28.13% -1.125 -36
World -16.78% -2.4 -520.5 -20.97% -3.7 -804

Source: LCM Automotive (2020); and Roland Berger (2020); GlobalData Analysis; Expert Interviews; Press Articles; Companies announcements.