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. 2021 Jan 13;2:100034. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100034

Table 3.

Results of interrupted time series regression on patient subgroups.

% step change in activity at interruption
% increase in activity per week after interruption
Characteristic Subgroup % 95% CI % 95% CI
All All 51.1% 46.4% 55.7% 3.0% 2.5% 3.6%
Sex male 51.9% 46.5% 57.4% 3.1% 2.4% 3.7%
female 50.2% 45.9% 54.5% 2.9% 2.4% 3.4%
age group 0 to 19 69.1% 54.6% 85.7% 2.6% 0.9% 4.3%
20 to 64 47.1% 41.7% 52.8% 3.5% 2.8% 4.1%
65 to 74 42.6% 37.1% 48.3% 3.0% 2.3% 3.7%
75+ 40.1% 35.6% 44.7% 2.3% 1.8% 2.8%
ethnicity White British 47.9% 43.3% 52.6% 3.1% 2.6% 3.6%
White Irish 47.0% 38.7% 55.8% 3.4% 2.4% 4.4%
Any other white background 57.1% 50.1% 64.4% 2.7% 1.9% 3.5%
White and Black Caribbean 57.6% 47.1% 68.8% 2.7% 1.4% 3.9%
White and Black African 61.3% 45.6% 78.9% 2.6% 0.8% 4.5%
White and Asian 62.6% 49.9% 76.9% 2.6% 1.1% 4.1%
And other mixed background 59.6% 47.6% 72.0% 2.5% 1.2% 3.9%
Indian 64.9% 57.8% 72.5% 2.6% 1.8% 3.4%
Pakistani 71.8% 62.3% 82.0% 2.8% 1.7% 3.9%
Bangladeshi 75.3% 64.0% 87.9% 3.4% 2.2% 4.7%
Any other Asian background 64.3% 55.4% 73.5% 2.5% 1.4% 3.5%
Caribbean 53.9% 48.0% 59.9% 2.0% 1.3% 2.7%
African 63.5% 53.8% 73.9% 2.5% 1.4% 3.6%
And other Black background 65.1% 55.9% 74.9% 3.1% 2.0% 4.2%
Chinese 74.5% 60.8% 89.3% 2.2% 0.7% 3.8%
Any other ethnic group 57.8% 49.0% 67.3% 2.3% 1.3% 3.4%
not stated / not given 53.2% 45.2% 61.8% 3.0% 2.1% 4.0%
deprivation 1 - most deprived 52.9% 47.6% 58.4% 3.1% 2.4% 3.7%
2 51.8% 46.9% 56.7% 3.0% 2.4% 3.6%
3 50.9% 46.1% 55.7% 2.9% 2.4% 3.5%
4 51.6% 46.9% 56.3% 3.2% 2.6% 3.7%
5 50.0% 45.4% 54.8% 3.2% 2.6% 3.7%
6 49.4% 44.6% 54.2% 3.0% 2.4% 3.5%
7 49.8% 44.7% 55.0% 2.9% 2.4% 3.5%
8 49.9% 44.6% 55.4% 2.9% 2.3% 3.5%
9 49.9% 44.9% 55.0% 2.9% 2.3% 3.5%
10 - least deprived 50.9% 45.8% 56.0% 3.0% 2.4% 3.6%
urbanicity urban 51.6% 46.9% 56.5% 3.0% 2.5% 3.6%
rural 47.9% 42.9% 53.0% 3.1% 2.5% 3.7%
acuity immediate / very urgent 50.4% 43.6% 57.8% 1.6% 0.8% 2.4%
urgent 48.4% 44.0% 53.1% 2.5% 2.0% 3.0%
standard / not urgent 54.8% 47.4% 62.9% 3.6% 2.8% 4.4%
arrival mode ambulance 31.9% 28.2% 35.7% 1.9% 1.5% 2.4%
walk in 60.3% 53.5% 67.6% 3.5% 2.7% 4.3%
diagnosis Laceration 37.3% 16.5% 60.9% 4.5% 2.0% 7.3%
Contusion/abrasion 66.9% 53.1% 82.1% 4.2% 2.6% 5.9%
Soft tissue inflammation 51.5% 43.2% 60.2% 4.5% 3.5% 5.5%
Head injury 55.5% 46.6% 64.8% 3.5% 2.4% 4.5%
Dislocation/fracture/joint injury/amputation 46.3% 31.9% 61.6% 3.3% 1.6% 5.1%
Sprain/ligament injury 68.4% 50.4% 87.9% 4.9% 2.8% 7.0%
Muscle/tendon injury 65.6% 55.0% 76.7% 4.4% 3.2% 5.7%
Burns and scalds 37.0% 19.3% 55.7% 5.0% 2.8% 7.3%
Foreign body 36.3% 21.8% 51.4% 4.5% 2.7% 6.4%
Poisoning (including overdose) 39.7% 31.1% 48.6% 4.1% 3.0% 5.2%
Visceral injury 35.6% 19.9% 52.3% 3.4% 1.5% 5.4%
Infectious disease 55.4% 31.5% 84.7% 0.4% -2.6% 3.3%
Local infection 61.1% 38.6% 87.8% 5.1% 2.3% 8.1%
Septicaemia 56.7% 47.6% 66.5% 2.4% 1.3% 3.5%
Cardiac conditions 43.7% 38.7% 48.9% 3.7% 3.1% 4.3%
Cerebro-vascular conditions 39.0% 31.9% 46.4% 3.6% 2.7% 4.4%
Other vascular conditions 34.6% 20.6% 49.3% 3.9% 2.2% 5.7%
Haematological conditions 44.0% 37.7% 50.1% 3.7% 3.0% 4.4%
CNS conditions 44.9% 39.1% 51.1% 3.0% 2.2% 3.7%
Respiratory conditions 59.7% 30.0% 94.9% -0.4% -4.1% 3.1%
Gastrointestinal conditions 43.4% 38.0% 48.9% 3.5% 2.8% 4.1%
Urological conditions 46.4% 41.5% 51.6% 3.3% 2.7% 3.9%
Obstetric conditions 54.9% 32.3% 81.5% 3.7% 1.0% 6.7%
Gynaecological conditions 43.3% 36.6% 50.1% 3.7% 2.9% 4.5%
Endocrinological conditions 36.2% 29.3% 43.4% 3.4% 2.5% 4.2%
Dermatological conditions 59.9% 49.2% 71.2% 4.8% 3.6% 6.1%
Allergy 70.3% 48.9% 95.4% 6.6% 4.1% 9.4%
Facio-maxillary conditions 19.7% 6.4% 33.4% 3.5% 1.8% 5.2%
ENT conditions 65.9% 51.0% 82.5% 2.2% 0.5% 4.0%
Psychiatric conditions 40.4% 33.5% 47.7% 4.0% 3.1% 4.8%
Ophthalmological conditions 54.0% 43.5% 64.9% 4.8% 3.6% 6.1%
Social problem 44.9% 36.8% 53.4% 4.4% 3.4% 5.3%
Diagnosis not classifiable 72.7% 62.9% 83.4% 2.7% 1.6% 3.9%
Nothing abnormal detected 50.3% 45.0% 55.7% 3.4% 2.8% 4.0%
not known 60.2% 47.3% 74.6% 1.4% −0.2% 3.0%

% step change in ED activity at interruption and % increase in activity per week after interruption.