Table 3.
Comparison of the predicted and actual values of the ARIMA, ARMA, AR, and MA models with 95% confidence interval.
| Date | Actual | ARIMA | ARMA | AR | MA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06-2020 | 203 | 199 (98, 108) | 210 (143, 277) | 245 (170, 320) | 187 (94, 280) |
| 04-07-2020 | 327 | 340 (328, 352) | 302 (235, 369) | 399 (324, 474) | 289 (196, 382) |
| 04-08-2020 | 355 | 348 (336, 360) | 338 (271, 405) | 439 (364, 514) | 310 (217, 403) |
| 04-09-2020 | 364 | 360 (348, 372) | 356 (289, 423) | 505 (430, 580) | 403 (310, 496) |
| 04-10-2020 | 382 | 390 (378, 402) | 377 (310, 444) | 585 (510, 660) | 467 (374, 560) |
| 04-11-2020 | 429 | 420 (408, 432) | 442 (375, 509) | 604 (529, 679) | 579 (486, 672) |
| 04-12-2020 | 472 | 466 (454, 478) | 460 (393, 527) | 678 (603, 753) | 688 (595, 781) |
| 04-13-2020 | 435 | 442 (430, 454) | 461 (394, 528) | 689 (614, 764) | 735 (642, 828) |
| 04-14-2020 | 493 | 487 (475, 499) | 473 (406, 540) | 783 (708, 858) | 895 (802, 988) |
| 04-15-2020 | 518 | 525 (513, 537) | 509 (406, 576) | 842 (767, 917) | 981 (888, 1074) |
| 04-16-2020 | 762 | 758 (770, 746) | 689 (756, 622) | 936 (1011, 861) | 944 (1037, 851) |
| 04-17-2020 | 1132 | 1099 (1087, 1111) | 899 (832, 966) | 1054 (979, 1129) | 1256 (1163, 1349) |
| 04-18-2020 | 1088 | 1112 (1100, 1124) | 892 (825, 959) | 1259 (1184, 1334) | 1355 (1262, 1448) |
| 04-19-2020 | 1122 | 1179 (1167, 1191) | 1322 (1255, 1389) | 1056 (981, 1131) | 1216 (1123, 1309) |
| 04-20-2020 | 1147 | 1182 (1170, 1194) | 1403 (1336, 1470) | 1021 (946, 1096) | 1589 (1496, 1682) |