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. 2020 Oct 27;21(2):e26–e35. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30773-8

Table 2.

A comparison of the key factors for clinical trials that are reliant on natural exposure to, or a direct challenge with, SARS-CoV-2

Natural field infection Controlled human infection model
Infecting pathogen Unknown Sequenced SARS-CoV-2 made to good manufacturing practices
Infecting dose Unknown Predetermined and standardised
Timing of infection Unknown Predetermined
Risk to participant No increased risk above population level Potentially lower*
Numbers of participants required High Low
Participant involvement Minimal Likely to require an extended stay in study facility
Public health implications NA Risk of onward transmission
Confounders Participant behaviour and risk factors; changes in public health policy; changes in transmission dynamics during the study NA
Generalisability Dependant on study size Unclear, especially with reference to specific groups who are at high risk of severe disease

NA=not applicable. SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

*

The risk of infection in a controlled human infection model trial could be lower than naturally acquired infection as individuals who are at low risk of severe disease can be selected (eg, aged 18–25 years), the minimum dose of virus needed to acquire infection can be administered, individuals can be carefully monitored, and rescue therapies can be given if needed.