Table 2.
A comparison of the key factors for clinical trials that are reliant on natural exposure to, or a direct challenge with, SARS-CoV-2
| Natural field infection | Controlled human infection model | |
|---|---|---|
| Infecting pathogen | Unknown | Sequenced SARS-CoV-2 made to good manufacturing practices |
| Infecting dose | Unknown | Predetermined and standardised |
| Timing of infection | Unknown | Predetermined |
| Risk to participant | No increased risk above population level | Potentially lower* |
| Numbers of participants required | High | Low |
| Participant involvement | Minimal | Likely to require an extended stay in study facility |
| Public health implications | NA | Risk of onward transmission |
| Confounders | Participant behaviour and risk factors; changes in public health policy; changes in transmission dynamics during the study | NA |
| Generalisability | Dependant on study size | Unclear, especially with reference to specific groups who are at high risk of severe disease |
NA=not applicable. SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.
The risk of infection in a controlled human infection model trial could be lower than naturally acquired infection as individuals who are at low risk of severe disease can be selected (eg, aged 18–25 years), the minimum dose of virus needed to acquire infection can be administered, individuals can be carefully monitored, and rescue therapies can be given if needed.