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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jan 28.
Published in final edited form as: Risk Anal. 2018 Oct 8;39(2):402–413. doi: 10.1111/risa.13214

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Figure 2

Confidence about no circulation in Pakistan and Afghanistan as a function of the detected-event free period assuming different estimates of ES, with perfect AFP surveillance without ES, and lines provided to indicate 95% and 99% for reference.

Abbreviations: AFP, acute flaccid paralysis; DEFP, detected-event-free period; ES, environmental surveillance; GS, general population sites distribution; IP, isolation-rate based prevalence; NS, national sites distribution; PP, proportional prevalence; SS, site-specific; SW, system-wide; US, under-vaccinated subpopulation sites distribution