Table 4.

US State level models with fixed effect estimation of upper level 80% credible interval of ln(R_t) versus mobility variables lagged by 14 days. Fixed effects for each state are not shown. All estimates have P=0.000. 50 states plus the District of Columbia are included in the regressions.

Dependent variable: upper bound of 95% credible interval of Rt	coef.: Mobility, 14-day lag	95% conf interval		coef. Number of days	95% conf interval		N	Adj-R2	RMSE
retail/recreational	0.0104	0.0101	0.0107	−0.0018	−0.0020	−0.0017	5879	0.577	0.205
grocery/pharmacy	0.0098	0.0092	0.0105	−0.0035	−0.0038	−0.0033	5879	0.341	0.256
parks	0.0019	0.0018	0.0021	−0.0053	−0.0055	−0.0050	5864	0.290	0.266
transit station	0.0101	0.0098	0.0104	−0.0012	−0.0014	−0.0010	5879	0.542	0.214
workplace	0.0106	0.0103	0.0110	−0.0005	−0.0008	−0.0003	5879	0.505	0.222
residential	−0.0253	−0.0260	−0.0247	−0.0014	−0.0016	−0.0012	5879	0.522	0.218