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. 2021 Jan 27;6(1):100044. doi: 10.1016/j.esmoop.2020.100044

Table 3.

Multivariate analysis of predictive factors for second primary cancer: entire series

Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
Parameter Events/competing events/n (landmark population) Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value
Sex <0.0001
 Male 654/4439/15 087 1 NS
 Female 630/2157/19 310 0.791 (0.709-0.882)
Age at FPC <0.0001 <0.0001
 <30 93/239/3062 1 1
 30-60 451/2223/14 069 1.056 (0.844-1.321) 1.516 (1.200-1.913)
 >60 740/4134/17 266 1.468 (1.182-1.822) 1.887 (1.496-2.381)
Metastasis at diagnosis <0.0001 <0.0001
 No 1280/3952/28 311 1 1
 Yes 4/2644/6086 0.011 (0.005-0.024) 0.01 (0.005-0.020)
Localization of FPC <0.0001 <0.0001
 Lung 107/1447/3381 1 1
 Melanoma 31/98/604 1.924 (1.290-2.869) 0.919 (0.616-1.369)
 Head & neck 145/711/2730 1.685 (1.313-2.163) 0.944 (0.736-1.211)
 Prostate 67/271/1828 1.143 (0.843-1.55) 0.622 (0.459-0.843)
 Colorectal 81/504/2091 1.202 (0.901-1.604) 1.070 (0.802-1.427)
 Breast 199/422/8619 0.717 (0.567-0.907) 0.408 (0.321-0.518)
 Sarcoma 122/320/1976 2.044 (1.576-2.653) 1.311 (0.999-1.720)
 Gynecological 79/386/2353 1.157 (0.865-1.548) 0.886 (0.662-1.185)
 Urological 68/427/1072 1.889 (1.393-2.560) 1.996 (1.474-2.702)
 Gastrointestinal 68/993/2172 1.007 (0.743-1.364) 0.872 (0.644-1.182)
 Thyroid 17/97/796 0.771 (0.463-1.285) 0.454 (0.272-0.759)
 Other 300/920/6775 1.386 (1.111-1.728) 0.777 (0.621-0.972)
Treatment of the FPC <0.0001 <0.0001
 No chemo/no immuno 964/2517/18 377 1 1
 Chemo alone 313/3634/14 898 0.364 (0.320-0.413) 0.698 (0.609-0.799)
 Immuno +/− chemo 7/545/1122 0.097 (0.046-0.203) 0.770 (0.388-1.53)

CI, confidence interval; FPC, first primary cancer; NS, non significant.