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. 2021 Jan 27;6(1):100044. doi: 10.1016/j.esmoop.2020.100044

Table 4.

Multivariate analysis of predictive factors for second primary cancer: patients without metastasis of the first cancer during the observation period

Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
Parameter Events/competing events/n (landmark population) Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value
Sex <0.0001
 Male 647/1762/9851 1 NS
 Female 630/590/14 505 0.682 (0.611-0.761)
Age at FPC <0.0001 <0.0001
 <30 93/93/2506 1 1
 30-60 450/557/9941 1.252 (1.000-1.566) 1.522 (1.205-1.921)
 >60 734/1702/11 909 1.773 (1.427-2.202) 1.887 (1.495-2.381)
Anatomic site of FPC <0.0001 <0.0001
 Lung 100/422/1396 1 1
 Melanoma 31/53/336 1.016 (0.679-1.521) 0.951 (0.635-1.424)
 Head & neck 145/336/2015 0.988 (0.766-1.275) 0.978 (0.757-1.264)
 Prostate 67/79/1333 0.701 (0.515-0.954) 0.639 (0.469-0.871)
 Colorectal 81/127/1061 1.106 (0.825-1.483) 1.108 (0.826-1.487)
 Breast 199/88/7198 0.365 (0.287-0.464) 0.416 (0.325-0.531)
 Sarcoma 122/86/1482 1.201 (0.920-1.567) 1.349 (1.022-1.782)
 Gynecological 79/89/1408 0.891 (0.664-1.198) 0.913 (0.679-1.229)
 Urological 68/88/462 2.140 (1.573-2.911) 2.090 (1.536-2.844)
 Gastrointestinal 68/319/1074 0.912 (0.670-1.242) 0.910 (0.669-1.240)
 Thyroid 17/34/606 0.451 (0.270-0.754) 0.466 (0.278-0.781)
 Other 300/631/5816 0.680 (0.542-0.853) 0.798 (0.632-1.006)
Treatment of the FPC <0.0001 <0.0001
 No chemo/no immuno 964/1624/16 074 1 1
 Chemo alone 313/694/8183 0.571 (0.502-0.648) 0.706 (0.617-0.808)
 Immuno +/− chemo 0/34/99 0.000 (0.000-0.000) 0.000 (0.000-0.000)

CI, confidence interval; FPC, first primary cancer.