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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jan 29.
Published in final edited form as: Circulation. 2020 Oct 5;142(14):1320–1329. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.120.046940

Table 2.

Association between clinical variables and cerebrovascular accidents at 10 years.

Variables HR 95% CI
(univariable)
HR 95% CI
(multivariable)
pAF (SR as reference) 1.79 (1.25–2.57, p=0.001) 1.53 (1.06–2.23, p=0.025)
Age 1.07 (1.05–1.10, p<0.001) 1.07 (1.05–1.10, p<0.001)
Ethnicity Caucasian Reference Reference
East-Asian 0.00 (0.00-Inf, p=0.995) 0.00 (0.00-Inf, p=0.996)
South-Asian 0.46 (0.15–1.45, p=0.186) 0.89 (0.28–2.87, p=0.847)
Afro-Caribbean 0.00 (0.00-Inf, p=0.997) 0.00 (0.00-Inf, p=0.998)
African 0.00 (0.00-Inf, p=0.996) 0.00 (0.00-Inf, p=0.996)
Hispanic 2.88 (1.51–5.49, p=0.001) 4.95 (2.48–9.90, p<0.001)
Female gender 1.99 (1.33–2.97, p=0.001) 1.62 (1.07–2.46, p=0.024)
LVEF ≥ 50% Reference
30–50 % 1.38 (0.94–2.03, p=0.101) -
< 30% 1.36 (0.43–4.29, p=0.603) -
Peripheral Vascular Disease 1.05 (0.53–2.06, p=0.892) -
Creatinine 1.01 (1.00–1.01, p=0.026) -
Body Mass Index 0.99 (0.95–1.04, p=0.709) -
COPD 1.74 (0.71–4.26, p=0.224) -
Smoking Current Reference
Ex-smoker 0.77 (0.47–1.27, p=0.311) 0.52 (0.31–0.87, p=0.013)
Never smoked 1.05 (0.62–1.77, p=0.857) 0.60 (0.35–1.05, p=0.072)
Prior CVA 3.26 (2.02–5.25, p<0.001) 2.56 (1.58–4.15, p<0.001)
NYHA class 3 or 4 0.73 (0.46–1.16, p=0.184) 0.61 (0.37–0.98, p=0.043)
Diabetes No Reference
Insulin-dependent 1.07 (0.50–2.30, p=0.869) -
Non-insulin dependent 1.12 (0.72–1.74, p=0.602) -
Arterial hypertension 1.59 (0.98–2.55, p=0.058) -
Unstable angina 0.79 (0.39–1.61, p=0.514) -
Prior MI 1.06 (0.75–1.50, p=0.740) -
Prior PCI 1.57 (1.04–2.37, p=0.033) 1.85 (1.22–2.80, p=0.004)
Off-pump surgery 1.27 (0.90–1.80, p=0.173) -
Number of grafts 1.04 (0.84–1.28, p=0.737) -

pAF: post-operative atrial fibrillation; SR: sinus rhythm; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CVA: cerebrovascular accident: NYHA: New York Heart Association; MI: myocardial infarction; PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention