Figure - PMC

Skip to main content

An official website of the United States government

Here's how you know

Here's how you know

Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

View full-text article in PMC

. 2021 Jan 29;34:100439. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100439

Search in PMC
Search in PubMed
View in NLM Catalog
Add to search

© 2021 The Authors

Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

PMC Copyright notice

Fig. 4 — Analysis of model structure. (A) Waterfall plots for the 200 multi-start runs. The optimization runs are sorted by increasing negative log-likelihood value. The lower panel shows a magnification of the best 20 starts. (B) Differences in AIC with respect to the lowest value indicate M3 as the most plausible model. (C) Differences in BIC with respect to the lowest value indicate M1 as the most plausible model. Black dashed line in (B) and (C) depicts a change of 10 units considered as a rejection threshold (Burnham and Anderson, 2002).