Table 3. Time trends of VL epidemiologic indicators.
| Indicator/variable | Segmented period | Entire period | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | APC (95%CI) | Trend | AAPC (95%CI) | Trend | |
| Crude prevalence rate (per 100,000 inhab.) | |||||
| 2000–2017 | -1.4 (-2.6 to 0.2) | Decreasing | |||
| Crude incidence rate (per 100,000 inhab.) | |||||
| General | 2000–2017 | -1.22 (-2.5 to 0.1) | Stable | ||
| Federative Unit/State | |||||
| Alagoas | 2000–2007 | -26.2 (-33.5 to -18.1) | Decreasing | -10.6 (-16.3 to -4.6) | Decreasing |
| 2007–2017 | 2.2 (-7.5 to 12.9) | Stable | |||
| Bahia | 2000–2017 | -1.1 (-3.6 to 1.4) | Stable | ||
| Ceará | 2000–2006 | 24.8 (8.5 to 43.6) | Increasing | 5.5 (0.2 to 10.9) | Increasing |
| 2006–2017 | -3.8 (-7.6 to 0.2) | Stable | |||
| Maranhão | 2000–2009 | -8.2 (-13.1 to -3.0) | Decreasing | -1.8 (-5.5 to 2.1) | Stable |
| 2009–2017 | 6.0 (-0.8 to 13.3) | Stable | |||
| Paraíba | 2000–2017 | -2.2 (-6.2 to 2.0) | Stable | ||
| Pernambuco | 2000–2003 | -43.7 (-60.9 to -18.7) | Decreasing | -6.2 (-12.3 to 0.2) | Stable |
| 2003–2017 | 4.6 (0.3 to 9.1) | Increasing | |||
| Piauí | 2000–2004 | 28.5 (5.8 to 56.0) | Increasing | 3.4 (-3.2 to 10.4) | Stable |
| 2004–2009 | -13.2 (-26.9 to 3.1) | Stable | |||
| 2009–2017 | 3.4 (-3.3 to 10.5) | Stable | |||
| Rio Grande do Norte | 2000–2003 | -42.8 (-50.8 to -33.4) | Decreasing | -7.8 (-11.3 to -4.2) | Decreasing |
| 2003–2011 | 7.4 (1.5 to 13.5) | Increasing | |||
| 2011–2017 | -4.5 (-10.2 to 1.6) | Stable | |||
| Sergipe | 2000–2002 | -31.6 (-68.6 to 48.9) | Stable | -1.7 (-9.9 to 7.4) | Stable |
| 2002–2017 | 3.2 (-0.4 to 7.0) | Stable | |||
| Sex | |||||
| Male | 2000–2017 | 1.4 (0.8 to 2.0) | Increasing | ||
| Female | 2000–2017 | -2.6 (-3.9 to -1.3) | Decreasing | ||
| Age | |||||
| ≤ 4 years | 2000–2017 | -1.4 (-3.0 to 0.3) | Stable | ||
| 5–19 years | 2000–2002 | -23.1 (-41.6 to 1.3) | Stable | -3.6 (-6.6 to -0.5) | Decreasing |
| 2002–2017 | -0.7 (-2.2 to 0.8) | Stable | |||
| 20–39 years | 2000–2017 | 0.6 (-0.6 to 1.8) | Stable | ||
| 40–59 years | 2000–2017 | 3.8 (2.2 to 5.4) | Increasing | ||
| ≥ 60 years | 2000–2017 | 5.9 (4.2 to 7.6) | Increasing | ||
| Percentage of LV-HIV co-infection | |||||
| 2000–2011 | 24.98 (15.8 to 34.9) | Increasing | 17.3 (11.3 to 23.7) | Increasing | |
| 2011–2017 | 4.5 (-4.2 to 13.9) | Stable | |||
| Crude mortality rate (per 100,000 inhab.) | |||||
| 2000–2009 | -0.9 (-3.8 to 2.0) | Stable | 2.5 (0.6 to 4.4) | Increasing | |
| 2009–2017 | 6.5 (3.4 to 9.7) | Increasing | |||
| Lethality | |||||
| 2000–2017 | 3.9 (3.0 to 4.9) | Increasing | |||
| Proportion of municipalities with transmission | |||||
| 2000–2010 | -0.8 (-2.4 to 0.8) | Stable | 1 (-0.3 to 2.3) | Stable | |
| 2010–2017 | 3.6 (1.0 to 6.4) | Increasing | |||