Table 1.

Parameters used for modelling the transmission of African swine fever virus; five different scenarios were considered based on viruses of different virulence (moderate case fatality in scenarios 1–2 and high in scenarios 3–5), and different reproduction ratios (R₀) (a low, medium and high R₀ was used for scenarios 3, 4 and 5, respectively)

Disease scenario	R0	β	μE	kE	μI	kI	Case fatality (%)
1. Malta 1978	20.4	2.8	5.0	10†	7.3	10†	25
2. The Netherlands 1986	8.1	0.9	5.0	10†	9.0	20†	50
3. Georgia 2007, low	4.8	0.7	6.1	18	6.9	20	100
4. Georgia 2007, medium	13.2	2.2	9.7	28	6.0	25	100
5. Georgia 2007, high	17.4	2.2	9.0	23	7.9	22	100

^†Assumed values based on ranges reported in de Carvalho Ferreira et al. (2013).

R₀ – reproduction ratio.

β – transmission rate.

μ_E – mean latent period.

k_E – shape parameter for gamma‐distributed latent period.

μ_I – mean infectious period.

k_I – shape parameter for gamma‐distributed infectious period.