Table 2.
Predictions for the first scenario (in the case of no intervention).
| Value | Unit | |
|---|---|---|
| Expected total cases | 72,091,595 | Cases |
| Attack rate | 88.1 | % |
| Expected total deaths | 445,956 | Deaths |
| Mortality | 0.54 | % |
| Daily occupied ICU beds peak | 168,790 | Beds |
| Date of peak | June 2020 | date |
| ICU bed capacity exceeded | 4.44 | Fold |
| Date ICU beds are 100% full | May 2020 | Date |
| Daily occupied non-ICU bed peak | 618,928 | Beds |
| Date of peak | June 2020 | Date |
| Non-ICU bed capacity exceeded | 3.21 | Fold |
| Date non-ICU beds are 100% full | May 2020 | Date |
ICU, Intensive Care Unit.