Table 3.

Predictions for the second scenario (<100% social compliance) and the third scenario (100% social compliance).

	2nd scenario	3rd scenario	Difference	Unit
Expected total cases	32,528,665	16,502,277	16,026,388	Case
Attack rate	39.7	20.2	19.58	%
Expected total deaths	229,415	135,113	94,303	Case
Mortality	0.28	0.17	0.12	%
Daily occupied ICU beds peak	28,821	14,220	14,601	Bed
ICU bed capacity exceeded	0.76	0.37		Fold
Daily occupied non-ICU bed peak	100,402	49,127	51,275	Bed
Non-ICU bed capacity exceeded	0.52	0.25		Fold
Total recovered	30,174,033	12,678,861	17,495,172	Case

ICU, Intensive Care Unit.