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. 2021 Feb 3;11:2927. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82421-y

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Bar graphs of relative change (%) in simulated mean monthly flow for different return periods for three catchments for each selected incident sites. Relative change is estimated as the percent difference between indices estimated for a current climate period 1971–2000 and those for a 30-year period centered on 2080 following emission scenario RCP8.5. Axes are cut at 100% change to improve readability. Monthly catchment flows are expected to decrease in Famagusta, Crete, Rhodos and Kastelorizo, with variations recorded amongst this locations. The Central Aegean is predicted to record drier summers but slightly wetter winters. The Black Sea and Constança will record increases in monthly catchment flow, likely in association with the capture of thawing water and river flow from surrounding mountains.