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. 2021 Jan 21;55(3):1941–1952. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.0c06972

Table 3. Sensitivity Analysis.

        estimated annual risk (percentile)
pathogen fixed parameter fixed Value units 10th (%) 50th (%) 90th (%)
G. duodenalis soil ingestion 10 mg/day 2.7 4.4 8.1
100 24 36 57
1000 93 99 >99
gene copy density 10 gene copies/gram soil 2.6 3.7 5.3
100 23 32 43
1000 92 98 >99
viability 0.01% % viable cysts 0.51 0.65 0.92
0.10% 5.0 6.4 8.8
1% 40 48 60
10% >99 >99 >99
dose–response parameter k 0.00995 unitless 31 46 78
0.0199 53 71 95
0.0398 78 92 >99
Shigella/EIEC soil ingestion 10 mg/day 1.2 1.9 3.3
100 11 17 27
1000 65 78 88
gene copy density 10 gene copies/gram soil 0.60 0.89 1.3
100 5.8 8.4 12
1000 43 55 66
viability 0.01% % viable CFUs 0.22 0.29 0.43
0.10% 2.2 2.8 4.1
1% 20 24 32
10% 87 91 95
dose–response parameter N50 740 CFUs 42 56 72
1480 25 35 50
2960 13 20 31
a

Results from sensitivity analysis that held individual parameters constant as part of the stochastic QMRA model.