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. 2021 Feb 5;4(2):e2036809. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.36809

Table 2. Trajectory of Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status and Excessive Weight Gaina.

Trajectory of neighborhood SES, OR (95% CI)b
Neighborhood SES in 1990 ≥ sample median Neighborhood SES in 1990 < sample median
HHH HLL HHL HLH LLL LHH LLH LHL
Overall
No. (%) 4952 (9.9) 704 (12.4) 683 (11.7) 375 (10.9) 5912 (12.8) 557 (10.4) 648 (11.2) 433 (11.2)
Model 1c 1 [Reference] 1.26 (1.16-1.37) 1.20 (1.10-1.30) 1.10 (0.99-1.23) 1 [Reference] 0.83 (0.76-0.91) 0.89 (0.82-0.97) 0.90 (0.81-1.00)
Model 2d 1[Reference] 1.22 (1.12-1.33) 1.16 (1.06-1.26) 1.09 (0.97-1.21) 1 [Reference] 0.85 (0.77-0.93) 0.91 (0.83-0.99) 0.90 (0.81-1.00)
Model 3e 1 [Reference] 1.19 (1.08-1.31) 1.13 (1.04-1.24) 1.06 (0.95-1.19) 1 [Reference] 0.87 (0.79-0.95) 0.93 (0.85-1.01) 0.92 (0.83-1.03)
Model 4f 1 [Reference] 1.16 (1.05-1.27) 1.11 (1.01-1.21) 1.06 (0.94-1.19) 1 [Reference] 0.89 (0.81-0.98) 0.95 (0.87-1.04) 0.93 (0.83-1.04)
Women
No. (%) 2541 (14.5) 404 (16.7) 369 (16.5) 216 (15.0) 3418 (16.6) 310 (15.9) 358 (15.4) 237 (16.0)
Model 1c 1 [Reference] 1.22 (1.09-1.37) 1.18 (1.05-1.32) 1.08 (0.93-1.26) 1 [Reference] 0.95 (0.84-1.08) 0.91 (0.81-1.03) 0.94 (0.81-1.10)
Model 2d 1 [Reference] 1.20 (1.07-1.35) 1.15 (1.02-1.29) 1.07 (0.92-1.25) 1 [Reference] 0.95 (0.84-1.08) 0.91 (0.81-1.03) 0.94 (0.80-1.09)
Model 3e 1 [Reference] 1.21 (1.06-1.38) 1.16 (1.02-1.31) 1.08 (0.92-1.27) 1 [Reference] 0.99 (0.87-1.13) 0.94 (0.83-1.07) 0.98 (0.83-1.14)
Model 4f 1 [Reference] 1.18 (1.04-1.35) 1.14 (1.00-1.29) 1.07 (0.92-1.26) 1 [Reference] 1.01 (0.89-1.16) 0.96 (0.84-1.09) 0.98 (0.83-1.15)
Men
No. (%) 2411 (7.4) 300 (9.2) 314 (8.8) 159 (7.9) 2494 (9.8) 247 (7.3) 290 (8.4) 196 (8.3)
Model 1c 1 [Reference] 1.30 (1.15-1.48) 1.22 (1.07-1.38) 1.13 (0.96-1.33) 1 [Reference] 0.72 (0.63-0.83) 0.87 (0.77-0.98) 0.85 (0.73-0.99)
Model 2d 1 [Reference] 1.25 (1.10-1.42) 1.16 (1.02-1.31) 1.10 (0.94-1.30) 1 [Reference] 0.75 (0.65-0.86) 0.90 (0.80-1.02) 0.86 (0.75-0.99)
Model 3e 1 [Reference] 1.17 (1.02-1.35) 1.11 (0.97-1.26) 1.05 (0.88-1.24) 1 [Reference] 0.76 (0.66-0.88) 0.91 (0.80-1.03) 0.87 (0.74-1.02)
Model 4f 1 [Reference] 1.13 (0.98-1.31) 1.06 (0.93-1.21) 1.04 (0.88-1.23) 1 [Reference] 0.78 (0.67-0.91) 0.94 (0.82-1.06) 0.89 (0.75-1.04)

Abbreviations: HHH, high in 1990 to high in 2000 to high in 2010, or stable high; HLL, high-low-low, or early decline; HHL, high-high-low, or late decline; HLH, high-low-high, or transient decline; LLL, low-low-low, or stable low; LHH, low-high-high, or early improvement; LLH, low-low-high, or late improvement; LHL, low-high-low, or transient improvement; OR, odds ratio; SES, socioeconomic status.

a

Excessive weight gain was defined as gaining 10% or more of baseline body weight.

b

Trajectories of neighborhood SES were defined based on the median values of year-specific rankings, where H indicated rankings at or above the median and L indicated rankings below the median.

c

Model 1 adjusted for age (continuous) and sex (ie, men and women, for overall analysis alone).

d

Model 2 adjusted for variables in model 1, race/ethnicity (ie, White, Black, or other), and education (ie, <12 y, high school graduate, some college, college and higher).

e

Model 3 adjusted for variables in model 2 and neighborhood SES ranking in 1990 (continuous).

f

Model 4 adjusted for variables in model 3 and physical activity (ie, never, rarely, 1-3 times/mo, 1-2 times/wk, 3-4 times/wk, or ≥5 times/wk), Healthy Eating Index score (continuous), smoking status (ie, current, former, or never), alcohol consumption status (ie, nondrinker, <2 drinks/wk, 2 drinks/wk to 1 drink/d, or ≥1 drink/d), and self-rated health (ie, excellent, very good, good, fair, or poor).