Figure 3. Simulation 1: The fitting of the model for (A) 7-day moving average active confirmed cases, and (B) cumulative deaths, using bounded transmission rate β and constant incubation, recovery, and time to death periods (τinc, τrec, τdeath). (C) Shows the trajectories for all compartments in the SEIRD model and (D)–(F) show the extended plots of (A)–(C) until the model achieves equilibrium.
