Table 1.
Observed mean mortality rate during the ascending phase of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and number of international arrivals in 2018 (millions) for each country included in the analyses
| Country | Mean mortality rate (daily increase in deaths) (up to 8 June 2020) | International arrivals (millions)(2018) |
| High mean mortality rate | ||
| USA | 43.74 | 79.75 |
| Spain | 29.23 | 82.77 |
| UK | 24.05 | 36.32 |
| France | 22.13 | 89.32 |
| Italy | 18.79 | 61.57 |
| Brazil | 13.09 | 6.62 |
| Medium mean mortality rate | ||
| Belgium | 7.86 | 9.12 |
| Mexico | 7.15 | 41.31 |
| Germany | 6.58 | 38.88 |
| The Netherlands | 5.4 | 18.78 |
| Turkey | 3.48 | 45.77 |
| India | 3.48 | 17.42 |
| Canada | 3.27 | 21.13 |
| Sweden | 2.59 | 7.44 |
| Russian Federation | 2.52 | 24.55 |
| Peru | 2.05 | 4.42 |
| Low mean mortality rate | ||
| Switzerland | 1.6 | 10.36 |
| Ireland | 1.58 | 10.93 |
| Portugal | 1.03 | 16.19 |
| Algeria | 0.88 | 2.66 |
| South Africa | 0.84 | 10.47 |
| Ecuador | 0.81 | 2.54 |
| Poland | 0.79 | 19.62 |
| Indonesia | 0.72 | 15.81 |
| Austria | 0.7 | 30.82 |
| Romania | 0.6 | 11.72 |
| Egypt | 0.5 | 11.2 |
| Japan | 0.48 | 31.19 |
| Saudi Arabia | 0.48 | 15.33 |
| Philippines | 0.46 | 7.17 |
| Colombia | 0.42 | 3.9 |
| Hungary | 0.38 | 17.55 |
| Ukraine | 0.31 | 14.1 |
| Dominican Republic | 0.28 | 6.57 |
| Finland | 0.26 | 3.22 |
| Argentina | 0.25 | 6.94 |
| Chile | 0.22 | 5.72 |
Countries were categorised in three groups: high mean mortality rate group (>20 additional daily deaths), medium mean mortality rate group (2–20 additional daily deaths) and low mean mortality rate group (<2 additional daily deaths).