Table 4.
Potential use of tests to enhance the reference standard. Information in the table refers to hypothetical combinations of results in which the enhanced reference standard result would be considered different from the original reference standard result. A cell-by-cell interpretation of each scenario follows.
Minimise FN for current infection | Minimise FN for past infection | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Visit (day) | 1 (0) | 2 (28) | 1 (0) | 2 (28) |
SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR | Negative (FN) | N/A | Negative | N/A |
COVID IgG | Negative | Positive | Negative (FN) | Positive |
Or: | Subsequent positive SARS-Cov-2 RT-PCR result (within 28 days) | - | ||
Or: | Hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause | Hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause | ||
Minimise FP for current infection | Minimise FP for past infection | |||
Visit (day) | 1 (day 0) | 2 (28) | 1 (day 0) | 2 (28) |
SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR | Positive (FP) | N/A | Negative | N/A |
1.1.35. COVID IgG | Negative | Negative | Positive (FP) | Negative |
And: | No subsequent positive SARS-Cov-2 RT-PCR result (within 28 days) | - | ||
And: | No hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause | No hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause |
Minimise FN (false negative) for current infection: If the COVID-19 RT-PCR reference test gives a negative result, it can be considered a false negative if the IgG result is positive at 28 days (newly positive or titres have increased), OR if a subsequent SARS-Cov-2 RT-PCR result (within 28 days) was observed, OR if there was a hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause
Minimise FP (false positive) for current infection: If the COVID-19 RT-PCR reference test gives a positive result, it can be considered a false positive if the IgG result is negative at both baseline and 28 days, AND if no subsequent SARS-Cov-2 RT-PCR result (within 28 days) was observed, AND if there was no hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause
Minimise FN (false negative) for past infection: If the baseline reference IgG test result is negative, it can be considered a false negative if the 28-day IgG test result is positive, OR if there was a hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause
Minimise FP (false positive) for past infection: If the baseline reference IgG test result is positive, it can be considered a false positive if all other tests at baseline and at 28 days are negative, AND there has been no hospital admission or death (within 28 days) citing SARS-CoV-2 as probable cause