Table 2:
Temporal trends of projected average temperature by representative concentration pathway and country or region
| Representative concentration pathway 2.6 | Representative concentration pathway 8.5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020–29 | 2050–59 | 2090–99 | 2020–29 | 2050–59 | 2090–99 | |
| North America | ||||||
| Canada | 7·8 (3·2–11·4) | 8·4 (3·9–12·0) | 8·2 (3·7–11·9) | 7·9 (3·7–11·5) | 9·8 (5·6–13·3) | 12·9 (8·8–16·3) |
| USA | 16·1 (9·8–26·0) | 16·6 (10·5–26·3) | 16·4 (10·2–26·5) | 16·1 (9·6–26·1) | 17·8 (11·6–27·2) | 20·4 (14·6–29·5) |
| Central America | ||||||
| Mexico | 18·8 (16·9–20·7) | 19·2 (17·2–21·1) | 19·0 (17·1–20·9) | 18·7 (16·8–20·6) | 20·3 (18·3–22·2) | 22·7 (20·6–24·7) |
| South America | ||||||
| Brazil | 25·0 (18·1–28·0) | 25·3 (18·3–28·3) | 25·3 (18·4–28·4) | 25·2 (18·4–28·1) | 26·4 (19·8–29·8) | 28·7 (21·8–32·7) |
| Argentina | 18·3 (18·0–18·8) | 18·8 (18·5–19·2) | 18·9 (18·5–19·3) | 18·4 (18·1–18·8) | 19·4 (19·1–19·9) | 21·2 (20·9–21·7) |
| East Asia | ||||||
| South Korea | 14·4 (13·3–15·6) | 15·0 (13·8–16·1) | 14·8 (13·7–15·9) | 14·5 (13·4–15·6) | 16·1 (15·0–17·1) | 18·6 (17·6–19·4) |
| Japan | 16·1 (10·0–23·7) | 16·6 (10·5–24·0) | 16·3 (10·5–23·9) | 16·0 (10·0–23·7) | 17·6 (11·8–24·8) | 19·8 (14·5–26·4) |
| Southeast Asia | ||||||
| Taiwan | 24·3 (23·5–25·3) | 24·6 (23·8–25·7) | 24·5 (23·8–25·6) | 24·3 (23·5–25·4) | 25·5 (24·7–26·6) | 27·3 (26·5–28·5) |
| Thailand | 27·9 (25·3–29·9) | 28·1 (25·5–30·1) | 28·2 (25·6–30·2) | 28·1 (25·7–30·0) | 29·4 (26·9–31·3) | 31·6 (29·3–33·4) |
| Oceania | ||||||
| Australia | 18·6 (16·3–20·8) | 18·9 (16·6–21·1) | 18·9 (16·4–21·2) | 18·9 (16·7–20·8) | 19·9 (17·6–21·9) | 21·9 (19·6–23·7) |
| Northern Europe | ||||||
| Finland | 7·9 (7·9–7·9) | 8·1 (8·1–8·1) | 7·9 (7·9–7·9) | 7·7 (7·7–7·7) | 9·4 (9·4–9·4) | 12·2 (12·2–12·2) |
| Estonia | 7·4 (6·9–7·7) | 7·6 (7·1–7·9) | 7·4 (6·9–7·7) | 7·3 (6·8–7·7) | 9·0 (8·5–9·3) | 11·7 (11·3–12·0) |
| Ireland | 10·9 (10·4–11·5) | 11·0 (10·5–11·6) | 10·8 (10·3–11·5) | 11·0 (10·5–11·6) | 11·7 (11·3–12·3) | 13·4 (13·0–13·9) |
| UK | 11·0 (10·2–12·4) | 11·2 (10·4–12·6) | 10·9 (10·1–12·3) | 11·1 (10·2–12·4) | 12·0 (11·1–13·4) | 13·9 (12·9–15·3) |
| Central Europe | ||||||
| Moldova | 11·8 (11·3–12·3) | 12·3 (11·8–12·8) | 12·1 (11·5–12·6) | 11·8 (11·2–12·3) | 13·3 (12·8–13·8) | 15·8 (15·3–16·4) |
| Switzerland | 11·1 (9·3–13·7) | 11·4 (9·6–14·0) | 11·2 (9·4–13·8) | 11·2 (9·4–13·8) | 12·5 (10·7–15·1) | 15·0 (13·1–17·7) |
| France | 13·1 (11·3–16·9) | 13·4 (11·4–17·1) | 13·2 (11·2–17·0) | 13·2 (11·4–16·8) | 14·4 (12·4–18·2) | 16·7 (14·5–20·5) |
| Southern Europe | ||||||
| Spain | 16·2 (11·6–22·1) | 16·5 (12·0–22·5) | 16·4 (11·7–22·5) | 16·2 (11·6–22·2) | 17·7 (13·1–23·3) | 20·2 (15·5–24·9) |
| Portugal | 16·6 (15·7–17·5) | 16·9 (16·0–17·9) | 16·8 (15·9–17·8) | 16·7 (15·8–17·7) | 18·0 (17·1–19·0) | 20·2 (19·3–21·1) |
| South Africa | ||||||
| South Africa | 18·4 (12·9–22·9) | 18·7 (13·2–23·2) | 18·7 (13·2–23·3) | 18·5 (13·1–23·1) | 20·0 (14·3–24·4) | 22·4 (16·1–26·8) |
Data are mean country-specific or region-specific temperature (range) as general circulation model-ensemble. Countries are arranged in order of latitude within each region.