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. 2021 Feb 10;11:3446. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82840-x

Table 4.

Clinical trial termination classification results, using single model without random under sampling (a), and random under sampling based ensemble model (b) trained using all features. A * indicates where the ensemble classifier is significantly different from its single model classifier counterpart at p<0.05, and ** indicates a higher level of confidence at p<0.001.

(a) Single model termination classification
Model Accuracy Balanced F1-Score AUC
Neural Network 88.47% 50.23% 1.21% 71.71%
Random Forest 88.54% 50.02% 0.10% 71.67%
XGBoost 88.55% 50.26% 1.18% 72.81%
Logistic Reg. 88.46% 50.48% 2.34% 71.42%
(b) Ensemble model termination classification
Model Accuracy Balanced F1-Score AUC
Neural Network 62.66%** 66.42%** 30.43%** 72.03%
Random Forest 66.33%** 66.58%** 31.28%** 72.59%*
XGBoost 63.92%** 67.20%** 31.21%** 73.01%
Logistic Reg. 63.31%** 65.79%** 30.11%** 71.46%