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. 2020 Dec 15;371(6531):eabd9338. doi: 10.1126/science.abd9338

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Copyright © 2020 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works

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Fig. 3 — Black and gray bars denote 50% and 95% Bayesian prediction intervals, respectively. (A) Predicted R_t after implementation of each set of NPIs, assuming R₀ = 3.3. (B) Maximum R₀ that can be reduced to R_t below 1 by common sets of NPIs. Readers can interactively explore the effects of all sets of NPIs, while setting R₀ and adjusting NPI effectiveness to local circumstances, with our online mitigation calculator (16).