Table 2.

estimated time to resource depletion by resource and epidemic trajectory scenarios

		Estimated time to resource depletion (in days)		Number of avoidable deaths
		Ward beds	Ventilated ICU bed
Resource scenario: conservative
Epidemic scenario	Best case (0.5% increase)	NR	NR	NR
	Intermediate (1% increase)	NR	NR	NR
	Worst-case (2% increase)	NR	39	16
Resource scenario: expanded
Epidemic scenario	Best case (0.5% increase)	NR	NR	NR
	Intermediate (1% increase)	NR	NR	NR
	Worst-case (2% increase)	NR	NR	NR
Resource scenario: surplus
Epidemic scenarios	Best case (0.5% increase)	NR	NR	NR
	Intermediate (1% increase)	NR	NR	NR
	Worst-case (2% increase)	NR	NR	NR

ICU: intensive care unit; NR: no resource constraint will be experienced within the next 60 days