Table 4.
Potential market size of heirloom rice in the Philippines
| Income category | No. of families (in 000)a | Annual consumption of special rice (kg/family)a | Demand for special rice (metric tons) | Predicted probability of purchasing heirloom riceb | Demand for heirloom rice (metric tons) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | [95% CI] | Mean | [95% CI] | ||||||
| a | b | c = a × b | d | e = c × d | |||||
| Upper-income group (10th decile) | 971 | 413 | 259,396 | 0.251 | 0.223 | 0.278 | 100,657 | 89,428 | 111,484 |
| Upper-middle income group (8th and 9th deciles) | 1213 | 339 | 410,601 | 0.186 | 0.171 | 0.201 | 76,372 | 70,213 | 82,531 |
| Lower-middle income group (bottom 70%) | 1955 | 267 | 807,415 | 0.156 | 0.150 | 0.163 | 81,430 | 78,298 | 85,084 |
| Total | 4139 | 258,458 | 237,939 | 279,099 | |||||
aAuthors’ computation from NSO (2010)
bEstimated from Probit model