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. 2020 Oct 15;38(1):257–270. doi: 10.1007/s10460-020-10159-w

Table 4.

Potential market size of heirloom rice in the Philippines

Income category No. of families (in 000)a Annual consumption of special rice (kg/family)a Demand for special rice (metric tons) Predicted probability of purchasing heirloom riceb Demand for heirloom rice (metric tons)
Mean [95% CI] Mean [95% CI]
a b c = a × b d e = c × d
Upper-income group (10th decile) 971 413 259,396 0.251 0.223 0.278 100,657 89,428 111,484
Upper-middle income group (8th and 9th deciles) 1213 339 410,601 0.186 0.171 0.201 76,372 70,213 82,531
Lower-middle income group (bottom 70%) 1955 267 807,415 0.156 0.150 0.163 81,430 78,298 85,084
Total 4139 258,458 237,939 279,099

aAuthors’ computation from NSO (2010)

bEstimated from Probit model