Table 1.

Number of COVID-19 community cases not detected per week under varied prevalence of COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 acute respiratory illness/fever and cough symptom weekly point prevalence, per million population

Weekly point prevalence of non-COVID-19 ARI /fever and cough	Total non- COVID-19 ARI/ fever and cough presentations per week	Number of patients tested per week	0.01% COVID-19 prevalence (100 cases in total)		0.1% COVID-19 prevalence (1000 cases in total)		0.5% COVID-19 prevalence (5000 cases in total)
			% all (COVID-19 and non-COVID-19) ARI/fever and cough tested	Number of COVID-19 ARI/fever and cough cases in population not tested	% all (COVID-19 and non-COVID-19) ARI/fever and cough tested	Number of COVID-19 ARI/fever and cough cases in population not tested	% all (COVID-19 and non-COVID-19) ARI/fever and cough tested	Number of COVID-19 ARI/fever and cough cases in population not tested
2%	20,000	15,000	75%	25	71%	286	60%	2000
4%	40,000	15,000	37%	63	37%	634	33%	3333
6%	60,000	15,000	25%	75	25%	754	23%	3846
2%	20,000	20,000	100%	0	95%	48	80%	1000
4%	40,000	20,000	50%	50	49%	512	44%	2778
6%	60,000	20,000	33%	67	33%	672	31%	3462
2%	20,000	25,000	124%	0	119%	0	100%	0
4%	40,000	25,000	62%	38	61%	390	56%	2222
6%	60,000	25,000	42%	58	41%	590	38%	3077
2%	20,000	30,000	149%	0	143%	0	120%	0
4%	40,000	30,000	75%	25	73%	268	67%	1667
6%	60,000	30,000	50%	50	49%	508	46%	2692
2%	20,000	40,000	199%	0	190%	0	160%	0
4%	40,000	40,000	100%	0	98%	24	89%	556
6%	60,000	40,000	67%	33	66%	344	62%	1923
2%	20,000	60,000	299%	0	286%	0	240%	0
4%	40,000	60,000	150%	0	146%	0	133%	0
6%	60,000	60,000	100%	0	98%	16	92%	385
2%	20,000	70,000	348%	0	333%	0	280%	0
4%	40,000	70,000	175%	0	171%	0	156%	0
6%	60,000	70,000	116%	0	115%	0	108%	0