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. 2021 Feb 17;16(2):355–374. doi: 10.1007/s11625-021-00913-2

Table 2.

Description of EMF 35 JMIP scenarios

Dimension Scenarios Notes
Policy stringency (emissions constraint)

26by30 + 80by50_Def

26by30 + 70by50_Def

26by30 + 90by50_Def

26by30 + 100by50_Def

16by30 + 80by50_Def

36by30 + 80by50_Def

NDC and mid-century strategy

NDC and 70% reduction by 2050

NDC and 90% reduction by 2050

NDC and 100% reduction by 2050

16% reduction by 2030 and mid-century strategy

36% reduction by 2030 and mid-century strategy

Technology sensitivity

26by30 + 80by50_NoCCS

26by30 + 80by50_LimNuc

26by30 + 80by50_NoNuc

26by30 + 80by50_HighInt

26by30 + 80by50_LoInt

26by30 + 80by50_LoVREcost

26by30 + 80by50_HiVREcost

26by30 + 80by50_LoVREpot

26by30 + 80by50_HiVREpot

26by30 + 80by50_LoStorageCost

No carbon capture and storage (CCS) is available

Only limited deployment of nuclear is allowed

Nuclear power is not available

High challenges of renewables system integration

Low challenges of renewables system integration

The costs of renewables are halved

The costs of renewables are doubled

The potentials of renewables are halved

The potentials of renewables are doubled

The cost of energy storage is greatly reduced

Service demand levels

26by30 + 80by50_LoDem

26by30 + 80by50_LoDemBld

26by30 + 80by50_LoDemTra

26by30 + 80by50_LoDemInd

A lower GDP scenario is applied

Lower GDP and demands halved for buildings

Lower GDP and demands halved for transport

Lower GDP and demands halved for industry

Energy import prices 26by30 + 80by50_HiImportCost Energy import prices are doubled

Only policy scenarios are shown for brevity. Note that baseline scenarios are denoted as Baseline_Def, etc. See the ESM Scenario Descriptions for more details

There are some differences in the implementation of scenarios in each model. For instance, for the LoVREcost scenario, some models implemented the VRE cost reduction from the beginning of the calculation period while others reduced the cost in a linear schedule