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. 2021 Feb 10;5(2):e74–e83. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30249-7

Table.

Deaths avoided in 2040 by scenario (relative to the current pathways scenario) and country (by absolute numbers of cases and per 100 000 population)

Daths avoided
Deaths avoided per 100 000 population
Air pollution Diet Active travel Air pollution Diet Active travel
Brazil
SPS 21 069 328 040 56 224 9 143 24
HPS 24 456 336 270 102 386 11 147 45
China
SPS 503 467 2 409 640 440 757 36 167 31
HPS 855 807 2 810 400 809 324 60 195 56
Germany
SPS 8770 143 770 2856 11 188 4
HPS 15 614 143 710 5631 19 188 7
India
SPS 433 549 1 741 860 364 948 27 111 23
HPS 491 756 1 869 300 670 230 31 119 43
Indonesia
SPS 130 541 301 970 37 759 42 97 12
HPS 159 129 321 630 71 62 51 103 23
Nigeria
SPS 43 839 88 490 29 376 13 25 8
HPS 46 915 91 550 55 094 14 26 16
South Africa
SPS 8409 97 160 19 341 12 159 32
HPS 9457 98 900 35 011 14 162 57
UK
SPS 3458 98 420 21 486 5 139 30
HPS 5771 100 100 38 441 8 141 54
USA
SPS 30 560 654 580 172 618 8 171 45
HPS 36 371 664 050 300 419 10 173 78
All countries analysed
SPS 1 183 662 5 863 930 1 145 365 26 130 25
HPS 1 645 276 6 435 910 2 088 298 37 143 46

HPS=health in all climate policies scenario. SPS=sustainable pathways scenario.