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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Feb 17.
Published in final edited form as: J Infect Dis. 2014 Dec 10;211(11):1800–1812. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiu674

Table 4.

Characteristics of options to improve population immunity prior to WPV1 introduction and potential 2013 SIA strategies after the detection of the WPV1 circulation.

Number of
new
infections
2013–2014
Cumulative
cases in
2013–2014
Reduction in
WPV1
elimination
time (days)
Additional vaccine doses
administered (millions)
2005–2014
OPV IPV
Reference case 7,700 0.8 Reference* Reference Reference
Maintain sequential IPV/OPV schedule after 2005 8 0.001 340 4.30 0
No response 172,500 18 - −1.02 0
Response 45 days after onset of the 1st paralytic case 40,900 4 −310 0 0
SIA 1 month earlier 4,200 0.4 43 0 0
SIA duration of 4 days 5,700 0.6 32 0 0
SIA lasting 4 days, 1 month earlier 2,800 0.3 73 0 0
Better SIA coverage 7,600 0.8 0 0.27 0
*

Reference case assumes 360 days with die-out occurring February 1, 2014.

Abbreviation: IPV, inactivated polio vaccine; OPV, oral polio vaccine; SIA, supplemental immunization activity; WPV1, wild poliovirus type 1.