Table 6.

Prediction of 90-day and 1-year graft loss in the training and validation sets: transplants performed using organs from donors with age ≥ 70 years

Scores	Training set (N = 1262)			Scores	Validation set (N = 520)
	AUC ± SE	95% CIs	p value		AUC ± SE	95% CIs	p value
90-Day graft loss
CCI	0.93 ± 0.02	0.88–0.97	< 0.001	CCI	0.92 ± 0.06	0.81–1.00	0.001
BAR	0.59 ± 0.04	0.52–0.67	0.03	BAR	0.55 ± 0.11	0.34–0.76	0.69
EAD	0.53 ± 0.04	0.45–0.61	0.50	D-MELD	0.53 ± 0.12	0.30–0.77	0.80
MELD	0.53 ± 0.05	0.44–0.61	0.52	EAD	0.50 ± 0.12	0.26–0.74	0.99
D-MELD	0.52 ± 0.05	0.43–0.61	0.64	MELD	0.46 ± 0.11	0.26–0.68	0.77
1-year graft loss
CCI	0.88 ± 0.03	0.82–0.93	< 0.001	CCI	0.79 ± 0.10	0.59–1.00	0.002
BAR	0.57 ± 0.04	0.50–0.64	0.06	BAR	0.53 ± 0.10	0.34–0.71	0.78
EAD	0.53 ± 0.04	0.46–0.60	0.49	EAD	0.52 ± 0.09	0.33–0.70	0.87
D-MELD	0.52 ± 0.04	0.44–0.59	0.69	D-MELD	0.49 ± 0.11	0.28–0.70	0.95
MELD	0.52 ± 0.04	0.45–0.60	0.51	MELD	0.47 ± 0.10	0.27–0.66	0.71

AUC area under the curve, SE standard error, CIs confidence intervals, CCI comprehensive complication index, D-MELD donor-model for end-stage liver disease, MELD model for end-stage liver disease, EAD early allograft dysfunction, BAR balance of risk, DOR diagnostic odds ratio