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. 2021 Jan 19;44(3):383–395. doi: 10.1007/s40264-020-01031-1

Table 4.

Crude incidence rates (/100,000 PYs) for each autoimmune disease per age groups and databases over the period 2003–2014

Health outcome Age groups, years Italy Denmark Spain UK Europe US
ARS Val Padana Pedianet AUH/SSI BIFAP RCGP RSC THIN ADVANCE PRISM
IR (95% CI) IR (95% CI) IR (95% CI) IR (95% CI) IR (95% CI) IR (95% CI) IR (95% CI) IR (95% CI) IR
Acute disseminated encephalomyelitis 0–1 6.8 (5.14–9.06) 1.4 (0.20–10.17) 1.2 (0.17–8.76) 4.5 (3.6–5.6) 1.3 (0.67–2.49) 0.8 (0.25–2.45) 0.6 (0.28–1.11) 2.86 (2.43–3.37) 1
2–4 5.8 (4.54–7.53) 4.8 (2.01–11.57) 1.0 (0.14–6.86) 3.8 (3.1–4.6) 0.2 (0.06–0.90) 1.2 (0.55–2.73) 1.2 (0.79–1.79) 2.71 (2.35–3.13) 1
5–14 4.2 (3.58–4.96) 2.8 (1.50–5.18) 1.9 (0.73–5.15) 2.0 (1.8–2.4) 0.7 (0.47–1.14) 1.3 (0.83–1.95) 0.7 (0.52–0.93) 1.79 (1.63–1.97) 1
15–24 12.1 (10.99–13.31) 10.1 (7.23–14.17) 2.5 (2.3–2.8) 0.8 (0.56–1.06) 1.6 (1.06–2.28) 1.0 (0.76–1.25) 3.10 (2.90–3.32) 1
25–44 20.2 (19.37–21.01) 22.9 (20.18–25.97) 6.7 (6.3–7.0) 1.2 (1.01–1.45) 3.1 (2.57–3.66) 1.1 (0.96–1.29) 6.99 (6.79–7.21) 2
45-64 15.0 (14.26–15.68) 14.4 (12.33–16.84) 7.1 (6.7–7.5) 2.2 (1.87–2.58) 2.9 (2.42–3.50) 1.2 (1.08–1.43) 6.31 (6.11–6.52) 3
65+ 8.6 (8.02–9.21) 8.6 (6.86–10.73) 6.4 (5.9–6.8) 6.8 (6.02–7.59) 2.5 (1.97–3.23) 0.9 (0.77–1.16) 5.34 (5.11–5.58) 6
Overall 13.5 (13.11–13.82) 13.4 (12.35–14.65) 2.1 (1.93–2.26) 5.4 (5.2–5.5) 2.1 (1.93–2.26) 2.4 (2.19–2.70) 1.0 (0.96–1.13) 5.25 (5.15–5.34)
Bell’s palsy 0–1 4.7 (3.34–6.60) 5.7 (2.15–15.27) 3.7 (1.19–11.47) 8.1 (6.82–9.60) 14.8 (12.20–17.95) 3.2 (1.79–5.57) 3.5 (2.69–4.67) 6.76 (6.08–7.52) 22
2–4 5.5 (4.20–7.09) 3.9 (1.45–10.27) 3.9 (1.45–10.30) 8.1 (7.09–9.34) 8.9 (7.14–11.09) 7.6 (5.47–10.43) 5.8 (4.86–7.03) 7.05 (6.45–7.69) 17
5–14 6.5 (5.66–7.37) 6.4 (4.26–9.65) 8.2 (5.11–13.22) 10.4 (9.81–11.13) 19.3 (17.68–20.98) 12.3 (10.74–14.14) 13.8 (12.94–14.75) 11.83 (11.41–12.28) 24
15–24 3.2 (2.67–3.87) 1.5 (0.62–3.58) 12.2 (11.56–12.91) 35.2 (33.53–36.84) 22.9 (20.69–25.28) 26.5 (25.25–27.80) 19.06 (18.55–19.59) 40
25–44 4.9 (4.48–5.29) 2.1 (1.37–3.16) 21.6 (20.96–22.27) 42.3 (40.97–43.61) 29.7 (28.02–31.40) 33.7 (32.84–34.65) 24.90 (24.51–25.30) 90
45–64 6.9 (6.41–7.37) 2.8 (1.99–4.01) 24.3 (23.60–25.04) 51.3 (49.66–53.07) 36.7 (34.88–38.72) 40.1 (39.16–41.16) 28.83 (28.39–29.28) 121
65+ 10.5 (9.82–11.13) 4.6 (3.36–6.20) 27.5 (26.49–28.46) 62.9 (60.52–65.30) 39.0 (36.58–41.49) 41.8 (40.59–43.15) 31.13 (30.57–31.70) 174
Overall 6.7 (6.47–6.97) 3.3 (2.79–3.94) 6.1 (4.11–9.15) 19.6 (19.28–19.93) 42.4 (41.62–43.10) 28.9 (28.08–29.83) 32.1 (31.65–32.58) 23.84 (23.64–24.05)
Guillain-Barré Syndrome 0–1 1.0 (0.47–2.09) 0.0 0.0 0.4 (0.17–0.82) 0.4 (0.14–1.34) 0.8 (0.25–2.45) 0.4 (0.19–0.93) 0.50 (0.34–0.74) 2
2–4 1.7 (1.03–2.67) 0.0 1.9 (0.48–7.73) 1.0 (0.68–1.48) 0.5 (0.17–1.20) 1.2 (0.55–2.73) 1.0 (0.67–1.60) 1.05 (0.84–1.32) 2
5–14 0.9 (0.64–1.29) 1.1 (0.42–2.97) 0.0 0.7 (0.51–0.85) 0.5 (0.28–0.82) 0.5 (0.24–0.97) 0.6 (0.48–0.87) 0.66 (0.57–0.77) 2
15–24 1.5 (1.14–1.96) 1.2 (0.45–3.17) 1.2 (0.99–1.41) 0.5 (0.33–0.73) 1.0 (0.59–1.56) 1.0 (0.76–1.25) 1.03 (0.92–1.16) 3
25–44 1.7 (1.47–1.94) 1.8 (1.14–2.81) 2.0 (1.83–2.23) 1.0 (0.77–1.17) 1.4 (1.08–1.83) 1.3 (1.15–1.50) 1.57 (1.47–1.67) 6
45–64 3.1 (2.79–3.43) 2.8 (1.99–4.01) 3.4 (3.12–3.66) 1.6 (1.36–1.97) 2.2 (1.74–2.67) 2.3 (2.12–2.60) 2.73 (2.60–2.87) 12
65+ 4.5 (4.14–5.00) 5.7 (4.32–7.47) 4.6 (4.19–5.00) 1.8 (1.43–2.24) 3.4 (2.75–4.21) 3.2 (2.86–3.57) 3.84 (3.65–4.05) 23
Overall 2.6 (2.49–2.80) 2.8 (2.30–3.35) 0.5 (0.13–2.04) 2.4 (2.27–2.49) 1.1 (0.97–1.21) 1.8 (1.57–2.00) 1.8 (1.67–1.89) 2.06 (2.00–2.12)
ITP (broad) 0–1 26.5 (22.92–30.55) 22.9 (14.05–37.44) 2.5 (0.62–9.86) 22.3 (20.08–24.67) 29.3 (25.56–33.63) 15.5 (12.04–20.06) 14.5 (12.63–16.57) 20.77 (19.54–22.07) 9
2–4 26.1 (23.19–29.47) 28.0 (19.43–40.23) 1.9 (0.48–7.73) 14.9 (13.47–16.51) 20.6 (17.84–23.83) 14.9 (11.86–18.76) 11.1 (9.69–12.66) 16.22 (15.30–17.19) 9
5–14 10.6 (9.56–11.74) 6.7 (4.49–9.99) 3.4 (1.61–7.10) 5.3 (4.85–5.80) 15.8 (14.38–17.38) 4.6 (3.68–5.77) 5.1 (4.59–5.70) 7.15 (6.82–7.49) 5
15–24 8.7 (7.73–9.69) 3.3 (1.81–5.92) 4.9 (4.58–5.44) 22.9 (21.63–24.30) 9.8 (8.42–11.43) 6.3 (5.72–6.96) 9.31 (8.95–9.68) 6
25–44 9.5 (8.95–10.07) 6.5 (5.15–8.26) 7.9 (7.49–8.28) 30.2 (29.11–31.34) 13.9 (12.81–15.13) 9.5 (9.07–10.03) 12.39 (12.11–12.67) 9
45–64 19.9 (19.10–20.74) 11.7 (9.81–13.87) 15.9 (15.37–16.54) 66.4 (64.50–68.37) 24.2 (22.67–25.78) 17.7 (17.01–18.33) 23.76 (23.36–24.17) 12
65+ 47.5 (46.13–48.91) 22.0 (19.09–25.24) 35.7 (34.63–36.87) 130.3 (126.90–133.78) 64.0 (60.91–67.20) 45.5 (44.17–46.83) 53.30 (52.57–54.04) 31
Overall 21.9 (21.41–22.31) 12.1 (11.05–13.23) 2.8 (1.56–5.07) 13.9 (13.66–14.20) 50.0 (49.17–50.78) 23.8 (22.99–24.58) 17.3 (16.92–17.60) 21.76 (21.57–21.96)
ITP (narrow) 0–1 5.8 (4.29–7.92) 4.3 (1.39–13.33) 1.2 (0.17–8.76) 13.6 (11.93–15.53) 4.6 (3.25–6.50) 7.9 (5.52–11.30) 8.4 (7.04–10.05) 9.00 (8.21–9.87) 9
2–4 8.1 (6.52–10.03) 7.7 (3.85–15.41) 1.0 (0.14–6.86) 11.6 (10.32–13.00) 3.8 (2.74–5.36) 10.4 (7.92–13.70) 9.6 (8.34–11.11) 9.26 (8.58–10.00) 9
5–14 3.2 (2.64–3.84) 1.7 (0.75–3.72) 2.4 (1.01–5.81) 3.6 (3.24–4.02) 1.4 (1.05–1.96) 3.0 (2.25–3.93) 3.7 (3.29–4.23) 3.25 (3.03–3.49) 5
15–24 1.3 (0.99–1.76) 0.6 (0.15–2.38) 2.6 (2.28–2.90) 1.0 (0.77–1.34) 2.8 (2.06–3.67) 2.3 (1.96–2.72) 2.05 (1.89–2.23) 6
25–44 1.0 (0.82–1.19) 0.5 (0.20–1.13) 3.3 (3.05–3.56) 1.1 (0.95–1.38) 3.0 (2.54–3.63) 2.6 (2.33–2.83) 2.28 (2.16–2.40) 9
45–64 1.6 (1.35–1.81) 1.1 (0.62–1.92) 4.7 (4.43–5.07) 1.4 (1.11–1.67) 3.7 (3.11–4.32) 3.7 (3.39–3.99) 3.26 (3.12–3.41) 12
65+ 3.2 (2.84–3.55) 3.0 (2.06–4.38) 10.8 (10.18–11.41) 3.0 (2.56–3.61) 8.1 (7.02–9.25) 8.6 (8.08–9.24) 7.09 (6.83–7.36) 31
Overall 2.1 (1.99–2.27) 1.6 (1.25–2.06) 1.8 (0.85–3.75) 5.3 (5.08–5.42) 1.6 (1.49–1.78) 4.4 (4.07–4.76) 4.4 (4.24–4.58) 3.82 (3.74–3.91)
Kawasaki 0–1 28.3 (24.63–32.52) 8.6 (3.86–19.14) 22.2 (13.99–35.25) 7.3 (6.10–8.73) 2.2 (1.30–3.57) 10.8 (7.95–14.67) 8.1 (6.72–9.67) 10.28 (9.43–11.21) 32
2–4 13.8 (11.66–16.22) 2.9 (0.93–8.96) 9.7 (5.20–17.96) 5.9 (5.05–6.97) 2.0 (1.28–3.22) 7.6 (5.47–10.43) 9.6 (8.34–11.11) 7.72 (7.09–8.39) 35
5–14 2.0 (1.59–2.55) 0.8 (0.27–2.59) 1.0 (0.24–3.87) 1.2 (0.78–1.43) 0.4 (0.22–0.73) 2.2 (1.58–3.03) 1.3 (1.06–1.62) 1.31 (1.17–1.46) 15
15–24 0.1 (0.06–0.34) 0.0 0.1 (0.04–0.15) 0.0 (0.00–0.14) 0.5 (0.24–0.96) 0.1 (0.06–0.25) 0.11 (0.08–0.16)
25–44 0.0 (0.01–0.08) 0.0 0.1 (0.02–0.09) 0.0 (0.00–0.08) 0.0 (0.00–0.18) 0.0 (0.01–0.08) 0.03 (0.02–0.05)
45–64 0.0 (0.00–0.06) 0.0 0.1 (0.05–0.13) 0.0 (0.00–0.10) 0.0 0.0 (0.01–0.06) 0.03 (0.02–0.05)
65+ 0.0 (0.01–0.08) 0.0 0.1 (0.02–0.15) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.02–0.11) 0.03 (0.02–0.05)
Overall 1.0 (0.93–1.12) 0.3 (0.17–0.54) 7.7 (5.36–10.96) 0.6 (0.52–0.63) 0.2 (0.12–0.21) 0.8 (0.71–1.01) 0.7 (0.64–0.78) 0.66 (0.63–0.70)
Narcolepsy 0–1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1
2–4 0.2 (0.05–0.78) 0.0 1.0 (0.14–6.86) 0.5 (0.27–0.75) 0.0 0.0 0.1 (0.01–0.37) 0.23 (0.14–0.37) 1
5–14 0.4 (0.22–0.65) 0.8 (0.27–2.59) 0.5 (0.07–3.43) 0.8 (0.63–1.00) 0.2 (0.10–0.49) 0.4 (0.16–0.81) 0.4 (0.27–0.59) 0.53 (0.45–0.63) 4
15–24 0.4 (0.26–0.71) 0.3 (0.04–2.11) 3.1 (2.78–3.46) 0.7 (0.49–0.96) 1.4 (0.96–2.14) 1.3 (1.05–1.62) 1.77 (1.61–1.93) 24
25–44 0.3 (0.19–0.39) 0.0 2.5 (2.29–2.73) 1.0 (0.82–1.23) 1.3 (1.02–1.74) 1.2 (1.05–1.40) 1.40 (1.31–1.49) 38
45–64 0.3 (0.24–0.45) 0.2 (0.05–0.73) 1.6 (1.38–1.75) 0.7 (0.53–0.93) 0.8 (0.59–1.18) 1.0 (0.83–1.14) 0.97 (0.89–1.06) 31
65+ 0.5 (0.35–0.64) 0.1 (0.02–0.79) 1.5 (1.27–1.73) 0.4 (0.29–0.70) 0.7 (0.42–1.10) 1.0 (0.78–1.17) 0.89 (0.80–0.99) 27
Overall 0.4 (0.30–0.41) 0.2 (0.09–0.37) 0.5 (0.13–2.04) 1.9 (1.76–1.95) 0.7 (0.59–0.78) 0.9 (0.77–1.08) 1.0 (0.88–1.04) 1.08 (1.04–1.13)
Optic neuritis 0–1 0.01 (0.02–1.01) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 (0.02–1.02) 0.0 0.0 0.04 (0.01–0.16) 2
2–4 0.2 (0.05–0.78) 0.0 0.0 0.2 (0.08–0.48) 0.0 0.2 (0.03–1.45) 0.2 (0.08–0.55) 0.17 (0.10–0.30) 3
5–14 1.6 (1.26–2.13) 0.6 (0.14–2.23) 0.0 0.8 (0.63–1.00) 0.6 (0.39–1.00) 0.9 (0.55–1.51) 0.8 (0.57–1.00) 0.88 (0.77–1.01) 8
15–24 3.2 (2.62–3.81) 1.5 (0.62–3.58) 3.8 (3.47–4.23) 2.1 (1.74–2.55) 2.4 (1.75–3.26) 3.4 (2.95–3.86) 3.21 (3.00–3.43) 16
25–44 3.6 (3.32–4.01) 3.6 (2.61–4.93) 7.6 (7.19–7.97) 2.3 (2.04–2.66) 6.3 (5.52–7.08) 7.2 (6.77–7.60) 5.77 (5.58–5.96) 37
45–64 2.5 (2.25–2.84) 1.1 (0.62–1.92) 4.6 (4.30–4.93) 3.0 (2.62–3.44) 4.6 (3.95–5.30) 3.7 (3.44–4.05) 3.67 (3.53–3.85) 43
65+ 1.8 (1.52–2.06) 1.7 (1.01–2.77) 1.9 (1.71–2.24) 3.5 (2.99–4.12) 2.1 (1.59–2.73) 1.8 (1.54–2.06) 2.04 (1.90–2.19) 52
Overall 2.6 (2.40–2.71) 1.8 (1.46–2.31) 0.0 4.1 (4.00–4.30) 2.3 (2.17–2.52) 3.7 (3.37–4.00) 3.8 (3.60–3.92) 3.42 (3.34–3.50)
Systemic lupus erythematosus 0–1 1.0 (0.47–2.09) 0.0 1.2 (0.17–8.76) 0.9 (0.55–1.53) 0.4 (0.14–1.34) 0.8 (0.25–2.45) 0.6 (0.33–1.20) 0.76 (0.55–1.05) 1
2–4 0.4 (0.15–1.04) 1.0 (0.14–6.84) 0.0 0.1 (0.02–0.32) 0.2 (0.06–0.90) 0.0 0.2 (0.08–0.55) 0.19 (0.11–0.32) 0.3
5–14 0.9 (0.61–1.25) 1.1 (0.42–2.97) 0.5 (0.07–3.43) 0.8 (0.64–1.01) 1.1 (0.77–1.58) 0.2 (0.06–0.56) 0.6 (0.44–0.82) 0.75 (0.65–0.87) 2
15–24 2.5 (2.02–3.08) 1.2 (0.45–3.17) 2.5 (2.24–2.85) 4.3 (3.77–4.93) 2.8 (2.11–3.74) 3.1 (2.71–3.59) 2.99 (2.79–3.20) 16
25–44 4.2 (3.87–4.61) 4.9 (3.74–6.45) 5.8 (5.43–6.11) 9.2 (8.62–9.85) 8.7 (7.87–9.71) 7.1 (6.70–7.53) 6.53 (6.33–6.73) 45
45–64 4.2 (3.84–4.60) 4.6 (3.45–6.01) 7.3 (6.91–7.70) 9.1 (8.43–9.87) 11.5 (10.52–12.67) 8.8 (8.36–9.29) 7.55 (7.33–7.78) 53
65+ 3.6 (3.25–4.01) 4.5 (3.27–6.07) 6.9 (6.39–7.38) 6.0 (5.27–6.75) 9.3 (8.22–10.62) 7.3 (6.82–7.89) 6.18 (5.94–6.44) 40
Overall 3.5 (3.32–3.69) 3.9 (3.28–4.52) 0.5 (0.13–2.04) 4.9 (4.74–5.07) 6.7 (6.40–6.99) 7.4 (7.00–7.89) 6.0 (5.85–6.25) 5.32 (5.23–5.42)
Transverse myelitis 0–1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 (0.01–0.44) 0.3 (0.04–1.87) 0.6 (0.28–1.11) 0.23 (0.13–0.43) 0.2
2–4 0.0 1.9 (0.48–7.70) 0.0 0.2 (0.11–0.54) 0.8 (0.31–2.18) 0.9 (0.55–1.41) 0.47 (0.33–0.68) 0.2
5–14 0.1 (0.01–0.23) 0.0 0.0 0.2 (0.15–0.35) 0.7 (0.37–1.20) 0.6 (0.44–0.82) 0.34 (0.27–0.43) 0.2
15–24 0.3 (0.13–0.50) 0.3 (0.04–2.11) 0.6 (0.43–0.72) 1.1 (0.68–1.71) 0.9 (0.70–1.18) 0.64 (0.55–0.76) 0.3
25–44 0.4 (0.27–0.49) 0.0 1.3 (1.14–1.46) 2.2 (1.82–2.75) 2.0 (1.83–2.27) 1.36 (1.26–1.46) 1
45–64 0.5 (0.36–0.61) 0.5 (0.19–1.09) 1.4 (1.20–1.54) 1.6 (1.21–2.01) 1.6 (1.44–1.84) 1.23 (1.14–1.34) 1
65 + 0.4 (0.29–0.55) 0.4 (0.17–1.19) 0.9 (0.74–1.10) 1.2 (0.84–1.72) 0.9 (0.69–1.06) 0.76 (0.67–0.85) 1
Overall 0.4 (0.30–0.41) 0.3 (0.17–0.54) 0.0 0.9 (0.74–1.10) 1.5 (1.28–1.68) 1.4 (1.27–1.46) 0.97 (0.92–1.01)

AUH/SSI Aarhus University Hospital/Staten Serum Institute, BIFAP Base de Datos para la Investigación Farmacoepidemiológica en Atención Primaria, ARS Agenzia regionale di sanità, THIN The Health Improvement Network, RCGP RSC Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre, ADVANCE Accelerated Development of VAccine beNefit-risk Collaboration in Europe, PRISM Post-licensure Rapid Immunization Safety Monitoring programme, IR incidence rate, CI confidence interval, ITP immune thrombocytopenia purpura